DroneShield stock forecast: revenue growth, statutory loss

DroneShield is an Australian counter-drone technology company. In first-half 2026, revenue rose to $125.8 million AUD while the company reported a $32.2 million AUD statutory loss. Explore third-party targets and technicals. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

By Dan Mitchell07:41 (UTC), 1 September 2026 Updated

Radar and surveillance systems used for defense technology. — Photo: Shutterstock

DroneShield Limited (DRO) is trading at $1.7357 AUD at 2:26pm UTC on 27 August 2026, within the session’s $1.7007–$1.7757 AUD intraday range. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Recent attention centres on first-half results, with revenue rising 74% year on year to $125.8 million AUD while DroneShield recorded a $32.2 million AUD statutory loss, compared with a $2.1 million AUD profit a year earlier. The company also reported $240 million AUD in committed FY2026 revenue as of 21 August (iTWire, 27 August 2026), while the August launch of RfRecon expanded its counter-drone product range across defence, government and security applications (DroneShield, 10 August 2026).

DroneShield stock forecast: H1 results and margin pressure in focus

As of 27 August 2026, third-party DroneShield stock predictions span $1.50–$2.80 AUD, with individual broker ratings ranging from Sell to Buy. Consensus estimates cover a wider range, reflecting differences in analysts’ assumptions on revenue delivery, margins and contract timing.

Ord Minnett (Sell target)

Ord Minnett sets a 12-month DroneShield price target of $1.50 AUD as of 27 August 2026, down from $1.60 AUD, while reiterating a Sell rating. The target sits at the lower end of the recent individual broker forecasts (TipRanks, 27 August 2026).

Bell Potter (Buy target)

Bell Potter sets a 12-month price target of $2.40 AUD as of 26 August 2026, down from $2.50 AUD, while reiterating a Buy rating. The broker’s forecast incorporates DroneShield’s first-half results and reaffirmed FY2026 revenue guidance (Streetwise Reports, 26 August 2026).

MarketScreener (consensus forecast)

MarketScreener reports an average DroneShield price target of $2.65 AUD across five analysts as of 27 August 2026, with estimates ranging from $1.45 to $5 AUD and a consensus Outperform rating. The range shows the variation across analysts’ forward valuations (MarketScreener, 27 August 2026).

Simply Wall St (consensus forecast)

Simply Wall St reports an average one-year DroneShield price target of $2.59 AUD as captured on 27 August 2026, with forecasts ranging from $1.45 to $5 AUD across five analysts. It notes wide dispersion across the estimates (Simply Wall St, 27 August 2026).

Canaccord Genuity (Buy target)

Canaccord Genuity maintains a $2.80 AUD price target and Buy rating as of 4 August 2026. The target sits at the upper end of the recent individual broker forecasts in the period covered (Stock Analysis, 4 August 2026).

Taken together, the cited individual broker forecasts span $1.50–$2.80 AUD, while consensus estimates extend across a wider range.

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

DroneShield latest earnings and next results date

DroneShield reported half-year results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 on 26 August. Revenue rose 74% year on year to $125.8 million AUD from $72.3 million AUD, while recurring revenue increased 229% to $11.5 million AUD. Gross margin narrowed to 60% from 65.3%, reflecting changes in product mix, currency movements and raw-material impairments linked to the company’s production facility relocation and ERP implementation (DroneShield, 26 August 2026).

DroneShield recorded an underlying EBITDA loss of $12.4 million AUD, compared with an $8 million AUD profit a year earlier, while its statutory loss after tax reached $32.2 million AUD versus a $2.1 million AUD profit in the prior period. The company linked higher operating expenses to headcount growth, product development, production scale and broader corporate functions. Cash and term deposits stood at $180 million AUD at 30 June, while net operating cash outflow widened to $10.3 million AUD from $8.7 million AUD (DroneShield, 26 August 2026).

DroneShield also reported more than 4,000 active software-enabled units in the field, with recurring revenue representing 9.2% of total revenue (DroneShield, 26 August 2026). As of 27 August 2026, its investor-relations page listed the 1H 2026 report as the latest financial report and did not list a date for the next results release (DroneShield, 27 August 2026).

DRO stock price: technical overview

The DRO stock price trades at $1.7357 AUD as of 2:26pm UTC on 27 August 2026, within the supplied $1.7007–$1.7757 AUD intraday range. The daily simple moving-average cluster sits at about $2 / $2.2 / $2.7 / $3 AUD across the 20/50/100/200-day periods, leaving the price below all four averages.

The 14-day relative strength index stands at 40, placing momentum at the lower end of neutral territory. The average directional index is 19.07, below the threshold used here for an established trend signal, while stochastic %K at 18.10 sits in commonly defined oversold territory.

The nearest classic pivot above the current price is the central pivot at $1.995 AUD. A daily close above that level could bring R1 at $2.300 AUD into view, although subsequent price action would determine whether the level remains relevant.

On the downside, S1 at $1.390 AUD is the nearest lower classic pivot. The 100- and 200-day simple moving averages remain above the current price, so they do not provide lower support references at present levels. The shorter-term Hull moving average at $1.798 AUD also remains just above the current price (TradingView, 27 August 2026).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

DroneShield (DRO): Capital.com analyst view

DroneShield trades at $1.7357 AUD at 2:26pm UTC on 27 August 2026, after a first half marked by higher revenue and weaker profitability. Revenue rose 74% year on year to $125.8 million AUD, while gross margin narrowed to 60% and the company reported a $32.2 million AUD statutory loss. Continued revenue growth, recurring software income and contract conversion could support sentiment, while margin pressure, higher operating costs or slower revenue recognition could weigh in the other direction (DroneShield, 26 August 2026).

The outlook also depends on how effectively DroneShield converts defence demand into sustained earnings. The company had more than 4,000 software-enabled units in the field at mid-year and launched RfRecon in August, broadening its product range. New products and contract wins could support additional revenue, while execution risks remain around scaling production, investment costs and the timing of customer orders. As a result, the share-price outlook remains sensitive to delivery against existing commitments and changes in defence procurement conditions (DroneShield, 10 August 2026).

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – DroneShield 2026

DroneShield trades at $1.7357 AUD at 2:26pm UTC on 27 August 2026, within the session’s $1.7007–$1.7757 AUD intraday range.
According to TradingView data, technical indicators place the 14-day relative strength index at 40, with the price below the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple averages.
Key price drivers include revenue growth, recurring software income, contract conversion, margin pressure, operating costs and the timing of defence procurement decisions.
Recent attention centres on first-half revenue growth, the $32.2 million AUD statutory loss, committed FY2026 revenue and the August launch of RfRecon.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most DroneShield stock?

Among disclosed institutional holders, FMR LLC is the largest, with 91.7 million DroneShield shares, representing about 9.9% of shares outstanding as reported on 16 July 2026. JPMorgan Chase and State Street Investment Management are also sizeable institutional holders. Ownership can change as funds adjust positions, while nominee and custody accounts may represent multiple underlying investors rather than a single beneficial owner (Investing.com, 27 August 2026).

What is the five-year DroneShield share price forecast?

This article does not provide a five-year DroneShield share price forecast. The cited analyst forecasts focus on shorter timeframes, with individual broker targets ranging from $1.50 to $2.80 AUD and wider consensus ranges. Extending those estimates over five years would require assumptions the cited analysts have not made. Longer-term performance could depend on contract conversion, defence spending, margins, production scale, recurring software revenue and execution as the business expands.

Is DroneShield a good stock to buy?

Whether DroneShield is a good stock to buy cannot be established from recent results or analyst targets alone. First-half revenue rose 74%, while recurring revenue also increased, but gross margin narrowed and the company reported a $32.2 million AUD statutory loss. Broker ratings range from Sell to Buy. That mix of operating growth, profitability pressure and differing forecasts does not support a clear buy or sell conclusion.

Could DroneShield stock go up or down?

Yes. DroneShield’s share price can move in either direction as contract timing, revenue delivery, margins and defence spending expectations change. Further contract conversion, recurring software revenue or successful product launches could support sentiment, while weaker margins, higher operating costs, delayed customer orders or slower procurement could weigh on the shares. The technical picture also remains mixed, with the price below its main moving averages and momentum near the lower end of neutral territory.

Should I invest in DroneShield stock?

This article does not provide a personal recommendation on whether to invest in DroneShield. The current picture combines higher revenue, recurring software income and new product development with lower margins, a statutory loss and execution risks around scaling production and converting contracts. Third-party forecasts also remain widely dispersed. These factors provide context for the company’s outlook but do not establish how the shares will perform or whether they suit any particular investor.

Can I trade DroneShield CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade DroneShield CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.