MP Materials stock forecast: Third-party price targets
MP Materials is a US-based rare earths mining and processing company. Explore MP’s recent price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.
MP Materials (MP) is trading around $67.20 in intraday dealings on 15 January 2026, within a session range of $62.45–$69.65 as quoted on the Capital.com platform at 4:22pm UTC. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Trading reflects broader equity market conditions, with the S&P 500 recently easing about 0.5% to 6,926.6 as investors assess early earnings and geopolitical headlines (Saxo, 15 January 2026), and follows recent commentary on MP’s integrated 'mine-to-magnet' strategy and policy support for critical minerals (Yahoo Finance, 11 Janary 2026).
MP Materials stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 15 January 2026, third-party MP Materials stock predictions generally cluster in the high-$70s on a 12-month horizon, with a relatively narrow spread between the lowest and highest published objectives. These third-party forecasts are indicative only and may differ from Capital.com’s internal valuations or pricing.
Simply Wall St (consensus snapshot)
Simply Wall St reports that analysts covering MP Materials have a consensus 12-month price target around $77.00, framed by a low estimate of about $65.00 and a high estimate near $85.00, based on expected earnings growth and margin recovery. The service notes a divergence between more optimistic and more cautious assessments, reflecting uncertainty around profitability, capital expenditure and execution of MP’s downstream rare-earth strategy. (Simply Wall St, 15 January 2026)
Benzinga (broker target compilation)
Benzinga’s analyst roundup cites recently updated 12-month price objectives for MP Materials, with an average target of $76.00, a high near $82.00 and a low around $71.00 across its sample. The article highlights recent target revisions from firms such as Morgan Stanley and BMO, noting that changes reflect evolving assumptions around rare-earth pricing and progress toward building a domestic supply chain (Benzinga, 13 January 2026).
MarketBeat (consensus and ratings)
MarketBeat states that MP Materials carries a 'Moderate Buy' consensus rating, with an average analyst 12-month target price of about $78.91 derived from its tracked coverage universe. The update adds that several banks have upgraded the stock or lifted targets following recent earnings and policy developments, while also noting that the company remains loss-making, with a negative net margin and insider selling over the prior quarter (MarketBeat, 14 January 2026)
Barron’s (post-deal revisions)
Barron’s reports that the average MP stock forecast has risen from roughly $27.00 to about $79.00 following a U.S. defence-related agreement, based on a survey of 17 covering analysts. The article notes that this reset came after a strong share-price rally and is linked to expectations that government support and strategic contracts could underpin MP’s role in critical minerals supply (Barron's, 13 January 2026).
William Blair / broker actions (via Investing.com)
William Blair initiated coverage of MP Materials with an Outperform rating, while Morgan Stanley raised its target to $71.00 and BMO Capital adjusted its objective to $75.00. The brokers cite MP’s '10X Plan' to scale magnet output and efforts to build a U.S. rare-earth supply chain as central assumptions within their valuation frameworks (Nasdaq, 13 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
MP stock price: Technical overview
The MP stock price is trading around $67.20 as of 4:22pm UTC on 15 January 2026, remaining above a rising cluster of moving averages, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages near 58, 58, 65 and 51 respectively. The 14-day RSI around 63.3 sits in the upper-neutral band, while ADX near 24.2 suggests a trend that is developing but not yet firmly established.
On the topside, the first area to watch is the classic R1 pivot near 59.7, with R2 around 68.9 coming into view if price holds above that zone on a sustained daily close. On pullbacks, initial support aligns with the classic pivot around 54.7, with the 100-day SMA near 64.6 acting as a nearby moving-average reference; a clear loss of that area would increase the risk of a move toward S1 around 45.6 (TradingView, 15 January 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
MP Materials share price history (2024–2026)
MP Materials’ share price has experienced pronounced volatility over the past two years, moving from the low-$20s in early 2025 to levels in the high-$60s by mid-January 2026. The stock spent the first half of 2025 trending gradually higher, rising from $20.64 on 7 January 2025 to the mid-$30s by late June, before accelerating through the summer and autumn.
After closing at $33.28 on 30 June 2025, MP entered a steeper uptrend, breaking above $70 in late September and briefly reaching a high close of $98.90 on 14 October 2025, the highest level in this period. A sharp pullback followed into year-end, with the price sliding back toward the low-$50s and finishing 2025 at $50.56 on 31 December, before rebounding in early 2026. By 15 January 2026, MP closed at $67.47, leaving it roughly three times higher than the $20.69 level seen on 15 January 2025 on a 12-month comparison.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
MP Materials (MP): Capital.com analyst view
The MP stock price has shown elevated volatility over the past year, with a strong rally during 2025 followed by a sharp pullback into late October and a renewed recovery into January 2026. External commentators often link these moves to the stock’s sensitivity to changing expectations around rare-earth demand, U.S.–China relations and policy support for domestic supply chains, factors that can amplify both upward and downward price swings as sentiment shifts.
The company’s positioning as a U.S.-based rare earth producer with long-term backing from the Department of Defense is cited by some analysts as a potential structural support, given its links to defence, electric vehicle and clean energy supply chains. At the same time, others highlight valuation risks and note that any easing in geopolitical tensions, delays in project execution or weaker pricing conditions could limit or reverse gains. Rare earth markets remain exposed to policy changes, trade measures and cyclical demand from technology and industrial sectors, which means MP’s share price may react sharply in either direction when macroeconomic or sector-specific news emerges.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for MP Materials CFDs
As of 15 January 2026, Capital.com client positioning in MP Materials CFDs is heavily skewed toward long positions, with 98.2% buyers versus 1.8% sellers, placing buyers ahead by 96.4 percentage points. This sentiment snapshot reflects open positions on the Capital.com platform and can change over time.
Summary – MP Materials stock price
- MP Materials’ share price rose from around $20 in early January 2025 to close at $50.56 on 31 December 2025, marking a year of significant gains.
- The stock recorded its most pronounced advance in the second half of 2025, climbing from the low-$30s in late June to an intraperiod high close of $98.90 on 14 October 2025 before retracing.
- Price volatility remained elevated, with several rapid swings between $70 and $90 during October 2025, followed by a period of consolidation in the $50–$60 range toward year-end.
- Technical readings into early 2026 show MP trading above its key moving averages, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs clustered broadly between the mid-$50s and low-$60s, while RSI remains in upper-neutral territory.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most MP Materials stock?
MP Materials has a mix of institutional, insider and retail ownership. Large institutional investors, including asset managers and funds, account for a significant share of the register, reflecting MP’s inclusion in various equity portfolios. Company executives and directors also hold shares, which can align management interests with longer-term company outcomes. Ownership levels can change over time due to fund rebalancing, insider transactions and broader market activity, so published breakdowns should be treated as point-in-time snapshots rather than fixed positions.
What is the five-year MP Materials share price forecast?
There is no reliable or widely agreed five-year MP stock forecast. Longer-term projections are inherently uncertain and depend on factors such as rare-earth pricing, policy support, execution of expansion plans and broader market conditions. Analyst forecasts typically focus on 12-month horizons, as visibility tends to decline over longer periods. Any multi-year outlook should therefore be viewed as speculative and illustrative, rather than a dependable indication of future performance.
Is MP Materials a good stock to buy?
Whether MP Materials is considered a 'good' stock depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Supporters point to its strategic role in the US rare-earth supply chain and potential policy backing, while critics highlight ongoing losses, execution risks and valuation concerns. The stock has also shown significant volatility. This content is for information only and does not constitute investment advice, and traders or investors should carry out their own research and consider both potential opportunities and risks before making decisions.
Could MP Materials stock go up or down?
Yes. MP Materials’ share price can move in either direction and has experienced sharp swings in the past. Movements may be influenced by earnings results, changes in rare-earth prices, policy announcements, geopolitical developments and broader equity market sentiment. As a company operating in a strategically sensitive and cyclical sector, MP can react strongly to both positive and negative news. Price movements remain uncertain and cannot be predicted with consistency.
Should I invest in MP Materials stock?
This article does not provide investment advice or a recommendation. Deciding whether to invest in MP Materials requires an assessment of personal financial circumstances, risk appetite and investment goals. The stock’s history of volatility, combined with uncertainties around profitability and execution, means outcomes can differ materially from expectations. Some investors choose to seek independent financial advice or undertake detailed analysis before committing capital to individual equities.
Can I trade MP Materials CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade MP Materials CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.