Nvidia stock forecast: third-party price target
Nvidia (NVDA) is down approximately 27.37% since the beginning of 2025 (as of mid-April), and up 26.48% year on year – based on its $98.78 open price on 22 April 2025.
Nvidia shares exhibited significant volatility since early January, influenced by a combination of sector-specific and broader stock market uncertainty around US trade tariffs.
What’s next for the AI-focused semiconductor superstar? Read our roundup of third-party Nvidia share price forecasts for 2025-2030 and beyond, with price action, analyst targets, and third-party predictions.
What is Nvidia?
Nvidia Corporation is a technology company primarily known for designing and manufacturing high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs). Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Nvidia plays a significant role in the development of computer graphics, artificial intelligence (AI), and other advanced computing applications.
Nvidia has recently achieved several significant milestones:
- Market leadership: in January 2025, Nvidia once again became the world's most valuable company, surpassing Apple, with a market capitalisation exceeding $3.45 trillion.
- Financial performance: in the third quarter of 2024, Nvidia reported revenues of $35.08 billion, a 94% increase from the same quarter the previous year, driven by strong demand for AI chips.
- AI chip advancements: in January 2025, Nvidia's Blackwell AI chips entered full production, after 13,000 samples having been shipped by November 2024, marking a significant step in AI hardware innovation.
- Strategic investments: In 2024, Nvidia invested $1 billion in AI startups and corporate deals, supporting the growth of emerging AI technologies.
Supercomputing dominance: Nvidia technologies powered 384 systems on the TOP500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers, highlighting its leadership in high-performance computing.
Nvidia price chart
Nvidia stock price forecast for 2025 and beyond
The Nvidia price forecast for 2025 and beyond, as of 23 April 2025, included a consensus among 43 Wall Street analysts compiled by MarketBeat that saw Nvidia's stock price target average $165.01 for the next 12 months, anticipating a 66.86% increase from the latest recorded price of $98.89.. The price targets ranged from a high of $220.00 to a low of $102.50.
The consensus sentiment on the stock is a 'moderate buy,' with 38 out of 43 analysts giving it a 'buy' recommendation and five a 'hold.'
As of 16 April, Morningstar analysts have highlighted potential shifts in global trade following US restricting exports of Nvidia’s H20 artificial intelligence GPU to China, which was designed for the Chinese market, aiming to ‘circumvent prior US restrictions’. Morningstar lowered its fair value estimate from $130 to $125 per share.
Meanwhile, economic data provider Trading Economics projected that Nvidia's stock could trade at $98.73 per share by the end of this quarter, but saw the stock dipping to $91.48 in one year. However, Wallet Investor took a different view of the one-year prospects for the stock, with the view that Nvidia is an ‘awesome’ investment over this time period.
A ‘strong buy’
According to TradingView, the consensus among 69 analysts was a ‘strong buy’ rating for Nvidia with an average 12-month price target of $164.40. The price targets range from a high of $235.92 to a low of $100.
Predictions past 2025 can vary and are by nature unreliable, but Benzinga suggested a potential 2026 price between $82 and $130, with the midrange target around $106. It also notes that by 2030, AI and machine learning will be deeply embedded in virtually every industry and that the stock could see a price of $200 by the end of the decade.
When looking for Nvidia stock price predictions, always remember that analyst and algorithm-based projections can be wrong. Forecasts and analysts’ expectations shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research.
Nvidia stock price predictions: analyst price target view
As for Nvidia stock price target predictions from individual analysts, Brian Colello of Morningstar said on 16 April 2025: ‘Nvidia NVDA expects to incur $5.5 billion of write-offs associated with its H20 artificial intelligence GPU, as the US has restricted its export to China… We lower our fair value estimate for wide-moat Nvidia to $125 from $130 as we cut our revenue estimates to exclude China now and in the future. We retain our Very High Uncertainty Rating. Shares appear undervalued to us, as tariff concerns are likely weighing on the stock.’’
On 22 April Business Insider references Barclays’ Tom O’Malley who maintained an ‘Overweight’ rating and lowered the price target from $175 to $155. Meanwhile, Gil Luria of DA Davidson was less bullish, maintaining a ‘Hold’ rating with a $125 price target, expressing concerns about potential supply-side disruptions including sales limitations to China. Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya reiterated a ‘Buy’ rating for Nvidia stock on 22 April 2025, setting a $150 price target.
Nvidia stock price drivers
Nvidia’s stock price drivers comprise macroeconomic and industry-specific factors that influence how Nvidia's share price could move, from the rapid adoption of AI technologies to geopolitical tensions impacting supply chains. Here are a few of the main drivers.
Industry trends
The AI boom is a major driver for Nvidia, with its GPUs powering applications like large language models and robotics. Nvidia’s focus on generative AI and metaverse development positions it for long-term growth. Meanwhile, the company is stepping back from less stable trends, like cryptocurrency mining, due to declining demand and regulatory crackdowns.
Supply chain and wider issues
Supply chain challenges, including access to rare earth materials and trade restrictions with China, remain significant concerns. Labour shortages in semiconductor engineering and geopolitical tensions further impact Nvidia’s operations and revenue potential.
Expansion into new markets
Nvidia is diversifying into industries such as automotive, cloud gaming, and aerospace. Its Nvidia DRIVE platform for autonomous vehicles and GeForce NOW gaming service showcase this expansion. Emerging markets like India and Brazil also present growth opportunities that could positively impact the share price.
Competition and regulation
Competition from AMD, Intel, and tech giants like Alphabet (Google) and Amazon poses a challenge to Nvidia’s dominance in AI and data centres. Regulatory scrutiny, including the failed ARM acquisition, continues to limit its growth through mergers and acquisitions.
Macroeconomic factors
Interest rates, inflation, and global economic conditions play a key role in Nvidia’s stock movements. Higher rates may dampen investments in data centres, while slower economic growth could reduce demand in gaming and discretionary markets. The speed of AI adoption remains critical to its long-term performance.
Traders could watch these drivers to better understand the factors shaping Nvidia’s stock trajectory.
Nvidia price history
Nvidia’s price history has seen significant movements since its initial public offering (IPO) on 22 January 1999. The company went public at $12 per share and has since undergone multiple stock splits, significantly increasing the number of shares outstanding. In its early years, Nvidia's stock price remained relatively modest, reflecting its position as a niche player in the graphics processing unit (GPU) market. However, as the demand for GPUs expanded beyond gaming into areas like data centres and artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's stock began to appreciate significantly.
A pivotal moment occurred in 2023 when the surge in AI applications led to unprecedented demand for Nvidia's GPUs, propelling the company's stock price to new heights. By 7 January 2025, Nvidia's stock reached an all-time high closing price of $153.13.
This growth was fuelled by the company's strategic focus on AI and data centre markets, as well as the introduction of advanced products like the Blackwell AI chip in March 2024.
Despite facing challenges such as antitrust investigations and geopolitical tensions, Nvidia's stock has demonstrated resilience. However, global trade tariffs enacted under US president Trump contributed to a technology sector downturn, including semiconductor companies such as Nvidia in 2025. As of 22 April 2025, Nvidia shares trade at approximately $98.89 – with significant price volatility reflecting broader stock market uncertainty.
Nvidia trading strategies to consider
Nvidia is a global leader in technology, driving advancements in artificial intelligence, gaming, and data centers. Its growth potential and industry dominance make it a popular choice for traders. However, trading Nvidia effectively requires a clear strategy that considers its unique market dynamics and volatility.
Below, we outline potential key trading strategies designed to help you navigate Nvidia’s share price movements and make informed decisions.
1. Position trading: a longer-term outlook
Position trading involves holding a stock over an extended period to attempt to capitalise on sustained price movements. For Nvidia, this means focusing on its long-term growth drivers, such as its leadership in AI-powered GPUs, its expanding footprint in data centres, and its role in powering autonomous vehicles.
Long-term traders pay attention to Nvidia’s earnings growth, innovation pipeline, and its ability to stay ahead in the highly competitive semiconductor space. Using tools like discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis or tracking valuation multiples can help assess its intrinsic value over time.
2. News trading: reacting to market events
Nvidia’s shares are often impacted by news that highlights shifts in technology demand, new product launches, and geopolitical factors affecting the semiconductor supply chain.
For example, announcements about Nvidia’s advancements in AI chips, partnerships with major tech companies, or supply chain updates often create trading opportunities. Monitoring earnings releases, analyst upgrades, and industry events like CES (Consumer Electronics Show) can provide actionable insights.
Stay prepared to react quickly by setting up real-time news alerts focused on Nvidia and its key industry players.
3. Trend trading: riding the momentum
Trend trading focuses on identifying and following sustained price movements. Nvidia often exhibits strong upward trends during periods of high demand for AI technologies or when it releases groundbreaking products.
In share trading, combining technical indicators like the relative strength index or MACD with fundamental cues can provide a more robust view of potential trends. Combining these tools with fundamental drivers, such as strong earnings or increasing market share, can enhance the robustness of your trend-trading strategy.
4. Day trading: intraday opportunities
Nvidia’s high liquidity and sensitivity to news make it a potential option for day traders. Earnings days, major product announcements, or updates on AI demand can trigger significant intraday volatility, providing opportunities for quick gains.
Day traders should leverage real-time market data, advanced charting tools, and level 2 order books to refine their strategies. Keeping an eye on broader tech sector movements, particularly the US Tech 100, can also help gauge Nvidia’s price action during the trading session.
Discover more trading strategies on our trading strategies page.
Additional Nvidia trading insights
- Diversify your strategies: instead of relying on a single approach, consider a mix of strategies based on market conditions. For instance, position trading might work well in a bullish market, while trend trading can be effective in volatile conditions.
- Risk management is key: set clear stop-loss levels and position sizing rules to protect your capital. Even the most effective strategies can lead to losses without proper risk controls.
- Stay educated: regularly update your knowledge of market trends, economic indicators, and sector performance. Enrolling in share trading courses or following expert analysts can deepen your expertise.
Learn more about trading shares via CFDs in our shares trading guide.