Zcash price prediction: Third-party outlook
Zcash (ZEC) is a decentralised cryptocurrency launched in 2016, designed to offer optional transaction privacy, and it trades on major crypto exchanges against the US dollar and other digital assets. Explore third-party ZEC price targets and technical analysis.
Zcash (ZEC/USD) is trading around $291.47 against the US dollar as of 11:02am UTC on 16 February 2026, moving within an intraday range of about $282.95–$328.03 on Capital.com’s feed. This places ZEC slightly below the psychologically significant $300 level, which external spot-market data have highlighted as near-term resistance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Recent commentary refers to increased derivatives activity and higher trading volumes in ZEC (AInvest, 16 February 2026). At the same time, the wider crypto complex remains sensitive to Bitcoin’s consolidation near the high-$60,000 area, creating an active but unstable backdrop for privacy-focused coins (Bloomberg, 16 February 2026).
Zcash price prediction 2026-2030: Analyst price target view
As of 16 February 2026, third-party ZEC price predictions cover short-term trading setups and broader scenario ranges extending through 2026. The summaries below outline six recent third-party views on ZEC/USD targets and ranges across different time horizons. These views come from external sources and do not constitute investment advice.
Coinpaper (crypto news analysis)
Coinpaper says that external model data it cites indicate Zcash could rise by roughly 59% over three months toward about $690 by early April 2026, aligning with an identified resistance zone around $600–$650. It presents this scenario alongside what it describes as elevated fear readings on sentiment gauges and still-bearish conditions, even as short-term technical indicators show improvement (Coinpaper, 9 January 2026).
LiteFinance (analyst technical forecast)
LiteFinance publishes a technical forecast focusing on support and resistance bands. It cites a key resistance area initially in the $55–$56 region and a higher upside zone around $60–$65, with layered support zones below. The analyst references moving averages and trendlines, presenting these levels as conditional markers that may guide short-term trading decisions if price consolidates above or below the highlighted bands (LiteFinance, 9 February 2026).
CoinCodex (model-based path)
CoinCodex states that ZEC is forecast to trade between approximately $283 and $312.30 over the current week, with a broader statistical target near $433.84. CoinCodex explains that its framework incorporates indicators such as the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, volatility metrics and a bearish sentiment classification, alongside an 'Extreme Fear' reading on its fear-and-greed index (CoinCodex, 17 February 2026).
Changelly (retail-facing forecast table)
Changelly notes that its monthly projection table shows Zcash with an indicated minimum of $305.47, average of $333.69 and maximum of $361.91 for February 2026, followed by a rising sequence of daily values into March. The platform attributes these projections to a rules-based model combining historical prices, technical indicators and current volatility, and classifies prevailing sentiment as bearish with an 'Extreme Fear' risk score (Changelly, 15 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
ZEC price: Technical overview
On the daily chart, ZEC/USD trades around $291.47 as of 11:02am UTC on 16 February 2026. Price holds just above the 10- and 20-day SMAs near 261 and 277, while the 30-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs stand around 306, 367, 421 and 281 respectively. The 14-day RSI sits near the mid-range at about 48. An ADX reading close to 31 suggests an established trend backdrop rather than a purely sideways market.
The 10- and 20-day EMAs, near 276 and 287, track close to current price. The 200-day EMA, around 298, sits slightly above spot and may act as a longer-term reference level for market participants.
On the topside, the first classic resistance level appears near 468 (R1), with R2 around 632 only coming into view if price records a sustained daily close above the initial pivot zone and nearby round-number levels. On pullbacks, the classic pivot near 372 represents initial support, followed by the 200-day SMA around 281. A move below that area could expose the S1 level near 207 (TradingView, 16 February 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Zcash price history (2024–2026)
ZEC/USD has experienced significant volatility over the past two years, moving from low double-digit levels to above $500 before retracing. On 16 February 2024, ZEC closed at about $25.67. By 16 February 2025, it traded near $34.19. At the start of 2026, it reached $528.07, before recording prices between approximately $205.58 and $528.07 in January and finishing at about $294.39 on 16 February 2026.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Capital.com analyst view: Zcash
Over the past two years, ZEC has moved from below $30 in early 2024 to above $500 at the turn of 2026, before easing back towards the high-$200s by mid-February 2026. This price path illustrates how conditions in a relatively niche, privacy-focused cryptocurrency can shift quickly. Sharp rallies and drawdowns have coincided with changes in liquidity, market sentiment and broader crypto positioning, rather than following a steady, linear trend.
Several factors may continue to influence ZEC in either direction. These include developments in privacy-related regulation, shifts in overall risk appetite across digital assets and changes in trading activity in response to macroeconomic data or crypto-specific events. Increased demand for privacy-focused assets could support prices, while tighter regulation or reduced exchange availability could weigh on valuations. Broader crypto strength may coincide with gains in ZEC, whereas risk-off conditions across the sector could contribute to renewed downside volatility. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Summary – Zcash (2026)
- Zcash (ZEC) has displayed pronounced volatility over the past two years, rising from below $30 in early 2024 to above $500 in late 2025 before retracing towards the high-$200s by February 2026.
- Technical indicators present a mixed picture. Short-term moving averages sit close to current prices, while several longer-term averages remain higher. The 14-day RSI is mid-range and the ADX indicates an established trend environment.
- ZEC remains sensitive to broader crypto-market conditions, regulatory developments affecting privacy-focused assets and shifts in investor risk appetite. These factors could contribute to further upside or renewed downside moves, depending on how they evolve.
- Zcash’s recent history shows that prices can adjust rapidly in response to market developments and sentiment changes.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
What is the latest Zcash crypto price prediction?
Recent third-party forecasts for Zcash (ZEC) vary widely. In January and February 2026, published projections ranged from short-term expectations in the low- to mid-$300s to broader 2026 scenarios spanning roughly $120 to above $600, depending on the source and methodology used. These estimates rely on technical models, sentiment indicators and scenario analysis. Such forecasts are inherently uncertain, can change quickly and may not account for unexpected market events.
Who owns the most Zcash?
Zcash does not publish a definitive list of individual holders, as wallet addresses are pseudonymous and ownership can be distributed across exchanges, custodians and private wallets. As with many cryptocurrencies, a relatively small number of large addresses may hold a significant share of the circulating supply. However, it is not always possible to determine whether these addresses represent individuals, institutions or pooled client funds, which limits transparency around concentration risk.
How many Zcash coins are there?
Zcash has a maximum supply cap of 21 million coins, similar to bitcoin. New coins enter circulation through a mining process that follows a predefined issuance schedule. The circulating supply increases gradually over time until it reaches the capped limit. As with other proof-of-work cryptocurrencies, changes in mining activity and network participation can influence the rate at which new supply enters the market, though the overall cap remains fixed.
Could Zcash’s price go up or down?
Zcash’s price can move in either direction, sometimes rapidly. Factors that may influence price include broader cryptocurrency market trends, shifts in investor risk appetite, regulatory developments affecting privacy-focused assets and changes in trading volumes. Technical levels and sentiment indicators may also influence short-term price action. As cryptocurrency markets are typically volatile, price swings can be significant in both directions.
Should I invest in Zcash?
Whether to gain exposure to Zcash depends on your individual financial circumstances, risk tolerance and objectives. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and can result in substantial losses as well as gains. It is important to understand how the market works, including the risks associated with leveraged products such as CFDs. You should consider seeking independent financial advice if you are unsure whether trading is appropriate for you. This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade Zcash CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Zcash CFDs on Capital.com. Trading crypto CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.