Articles by Kyle Rodda

US Core CPI tipped to remain unchanged in September
US inflation expectations are steady, with core CPI projected to remain at 3.2% for September while headline inflation moderates to its lowest level since February 2021. Despite the US Federal Reserve delivering a 50 basis point interest rate cut in September, stronger-than-expected job market data has raised concerns about sustained economic demand and inflation pressures.
5 hours ago
RBNZ expected to deliver “jumbo” rate cut
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is set to cut interest rates during its upcoming meeting, with expectations of either a 25 or 50 basis point reduction. This move follows a 25 basis point cut in August as the RBNZ responded to the country’s recessionary conditions and inflation concerns.
08:21, 8 October 2024
September Non-Farm Payrolls eases fears of US economic slowdown
Markets are reacting with a US Dollar surge and a potential trend reversal, highlighting the impact of robust economic activity outside of monetary policy influences.
07:19, 8 October 2024
September US Non-Farm Payrolls Preview
Kyle Rodda, Senior Market Analyst at Capital.com, previews the US Non-Farm Payrolls report for September. The article discusses market expectations of a stable labor market with 150,000 new jobs, an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.2%, and steady annual wage growth at 3.8%. It also highlights potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, revisions to past payroll data, and the reaction of various markets such as the US Dollar, S&P 500, and gold.
07:54, 2 October 2024
RBA Preview: Rates to remain unchanged with inflation-fighting still the focus
RBA Governor Michelle Bullock emphasizes inflation challenges for Australia's economy, citing supply shocks and demand-supply imbalances. Discover insights on CPI trends, interest rates, and the central bank's strategy for managing price pressures in 2024.
12:18, 20 September 2024
FOMC Decision Review: A 50 point cut but the markets responded in a mixed fashion
Discover the US Federal Reserve’s latest 50 basis point cut and how the markets reacted. Stocks surged, the US Dollar fell, and the Fed hints at more aggressive cuts ahead.
11:34, 19 September 2024
Bank of Japan Preview
The Bank of Japan will meet on September 20, 2024, with markets anticipating minimal policy changes. However, inflation risks remain, with core CPI at 2.7% and potential for future interest rate hikes.
09:37, 17 September 2024
FOMC Decision Preview
As the US Federal Reserve prepares for its most significant decision since ending the rate hike cycle in mid-2023, the balance of risks has shifted. With inflation stabilizing at 2.6% and rising unemployment at 4.2%, the FOMC faces increasing pressure to address employment concerns. Markets anticipate a rate cut, with debate on the extent of the reduction.
09:45, 16 September 2024
Market analysis: US CPI and PPI
Overview of upcoming US inflation data for August, with expectations for a year-over-year CPI drop to 2.6% and core CPI holding steady at 3.2%. Markets will also focus on U.S. PPI data, which is forecasted to show mild growth, reinforcing potential easing inflationary pressures.
07:45, 10 September 2024
FOMC Decision Review: Rates unchanged as central bank raises inflation and interest rate forecasts
The FOMC left Federal Funds Rate unchanged at a target range of 5.25 to 5.50%.
10:18, 5 September 2024

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