BPER Banca stock forecast: Third-party price targets

BPER Banca is an Italian-listed banking group, with its share price influenced by developments in the domestic banking sector, broader market conditions and company-specific updates. Explore BPE’s price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.

By Dan Mitchell3 hours ago

Stacks of euro coins on banknotes with the Italian flag in the background. — Photo: Shutterstock

BPER Banca S.p.A. (BPE) is trading around €12.13 in early European dealings on 16 January 2026 as of 11:42am UTC, within an intraday range of approximately €12.07–€12.18. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Price action comes amid a modestly positive backdrop for Italian equities, with the FTSE MIB up about 0.4–0.5% around 45,850 points in recent sessions (Trading Economics, 16 January 2026). Against this background, investors continue to monitor the ongoing integration of Banca Popolare di Sondrio following the boards’ approval of a full merger plan expected to complete by April 2026 (Reuters, 6 November 2025). Recent corporate updates have centred on organisational and reputational developments, including BPER’s confirmation as a 'Top Employer Italy' for the seventh consecutive year, keeping market focus on the group’s longer-term positioning rather than short-term trading dynamics (BPER Banca, 15 January 2026).

BPER Banca stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets

As of 16 January 2026, third-party BPER Banca stock predictions cluster within a relatively narrow range around the current market level. These figures reflect third-party opinions based on individual methodologies and assumptions, and do not represent Capital.com’s view.

MarketScreener (consensus snapshot)

MarketScreener reports an average BPER Banca target price of about €12.61 over a 12-month horizon, based on a sample of 12 covering analysts. This consensus view, which also cites a positive recommendation skew, rests on assumptions around stable macroeconomic conditions and sector-level profitability within Italian banking (MarketScreener, 16 January 2026).

Simply Wall St (equity research aggregation)

Simply Wall St notes that its consolidated BPER Banca price target was recently increased by 7.5% to approximately €11.73 per share, framed as a 12-month forecast. The update follows revisions to earnings expectations and valuation inputs, as the platform adjusts its fair-value model in response to changes in underlying broker estimates (Simply Wall St, 5 January 2026).

GROWTH Investing (multi-broker average)

GROWTH Investing cites an average BPER Banca price target of €12.30 over the next year, with the highest broker estimate at €13.90 and the lowest at €11.79, based on 11 analysts. The site notes that the aggregated target has edged higher over recent quarters alongside revised earnings forecasts, reflecting assumptions of steady profitability and balance-sheet resilience (GROWTH Investing, 15 January 2026).

GuruFocus (analyst target compilation)

GuruFocus reports that 12 analysts assign a one-year average BPE stock forecast of around €12.25. According to the service, these targets incorporate views on earnings generation, capital strength and risk costs, with individual estimates framing both upside and downside outcomes around a central case (GuruFocus, 13 January 2026).

Fintel (forecast and estimates service)

Fintel’s BPER Banca page shows an average one-year price target around €12.50, with forecasts ranging from about €11.31 to €14.60. The platform links these projections to analysts’ revenue, earnings and return-on-equity assumptions, within the context of a broadly stable Italian banking environment (Fintel, 16 January 2026).

Across these sources, one-year BPER Banca stock predictions generally span €11–€14, with relatively limited dispersion between lower and upper estimates and a common emphasis on earnings resilience, capital positioning and sector conditions.

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

BPE stock price: Technical overview

The BPE stock price is trading around €12.13 as of 11:42am UTC on 16 January 2026, holding above a rising cluster of daily moving averages, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs located near €11.73, €10.96, €10.19 and €8.93 respectively. The 20-over-50 alignment remains intact, while the 14-day RSI near 71 suggests extended momentum. An ADX reading above 40 points indicates a well-established trend environment rather than a range-bound phase.

On the topside, the nearest classic pivot above the market lies at €12.10 (R1), with €12.60 (R2) coming into focus on any sustained daily close above this initial resistance zone. On pullbacks, initial support appears near the €11.15 classic pivot, followed by the 100-day SMA area around €10.19 as the next notable level. A decisive break below this zone could expose the €10.65 S1 region (TradingView, 16 January 2026).

This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

BPER Banca share price history (2024–2026)

BPER Banca’s share price has risen sharply over the past two years, climbing from around €3.33 at the start of 2024 to about €6.14 by the end of that year, before extending gains into 2025 and 2026. The stock advanced through 2025, moving from roughly €5.97 in early January to around €10.39 by late November, then pushing higher to close near €11.81 at the turn of 2026 and edging up to approximately €12.12 by 16 January 2026.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

BPER Banca (BPE): Capital.com analyst view

The BPE stock price has recorded a pronounced move over the last two years, rising from levels near €3.30 in early 2024 to trade around €12.13 as of 16 January 2026 on Capital.com’s platform. The advance through 2025 was relatively measured rather than abrupt, with the stock progressing from around €6.00 in January to above €10.00 by late November before moving into the low-€12 area at the start of 2026. While this trajectory may point to sustained market interest, it also implies greater sensitivity to shifts in sentiment or earnings expectations.

Several factors could influence BPER Banca’s price from here, including broader movements across Italian and European bank shares, changes in interest-rate expectations and credit conditions, and investor responses to the group’s strategic and integration milestones. Supportive sector or macro developments can underpin bank valuations, while weaker economic data, regulatory adjustments or adverse asset-quality developments could weigh on the share price. As a result, traders often consider both company-specific updates and wider risk sentiment when assessing near-term fluctuations alongside longer-term trends.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – BPER Banca 2026

BPER Banca (BPE) is quoted at €12.13 on Capital.com as of 11:42am UTC on 16 January 2026, within an intraday range of €12.07–€12.18.
Over the past two years, the share price has risen from around €3.33 in early 2024 to levels above €12 by January 2026, representing a notable multi-year advance.
Technical indicators show the price trading well above its 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (around €11.73, €10.96, €10.19 and €8.93), with a 20-over-50 alignment and an RSI near 71 pointing to extended but established upside momentum.
Key upside technical levels include the €12.10 Classic R1 pivot and €12.60 as the next resistance area, while initial support is located near the €11.15 pivot, followed by the 100-day moving average around €10.19.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns most of BPER Banca’s stock?

BPER Banca has a diversified shareholder base, with ownership spread across institutional investors, banking foundations and retail shareholders. Large Italian banking foundations and domestic institutional investors are among the more significant holders, reflecting the bank’s historical ties to the regional banking system. As with many listed banks, shareholdings can change over time due to portfolio rebalancing, corporate actions or market conditions, meaning reported ownership levels represent a snapshot rather than a fixed structure.

What is the five-year BPER Banca share price forecast?

There is no widely agreed or reliable five-year BPE stock forecast. Most publicly available analyst estimates focus on 12-month horizons, reflecting the greater uncertainty associated with longer-term projections. Over multi-year periods, BPER Banca’s share price may be influenced by factors such as economic growth, interest-rate trends, regulatory developments and the execution of strategic plans. As a result, longer-term outcomes can differ materially from shorter-term expectations or historical performance.

Is BPER Banca a good stock to buy?

Whether BPER Banca is a 'good' stock depends on an individual’s objectives, time horizon and risk tolerance. Analysts currently publish a range of views expressed through price targets and recommendations, rather than definitive conclusions. While some investors focus on earnings trends and balance-sheet metrics, others place greater emphasis on broader sector or macroeconomic risks. Importantly, this article does not provide investment advice, and assessing suitability requires individual research and, where appropriate, independent financial guidance.

Could BPER Banca’s share price go up or down?

Yes, BPER Banca’s share price can move in either direction. Like other bank stocks, it is sensitive to changes in interest-rate expectations, economic conditions, regulatory decisions and investor sentiment towards the financial sector. Company-specific developments, such as integration progress or earnings updates, can also influence price movements. Both upward and downward scenarios are therefore possible, particularly over shorter time frames where market volatility may be more pronounced.

Should I invest in BPER Banca stock?

This article does not suggest whether you should invest in BPER Banca stock. Investment decisions depend on personal financial circumstances, objectives and tolerance for risk. Share prices can fluctuate, and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Before making any investment decision, individuals typically consider multiple sources of information and may seek independent professional advice to better understand the potential risks, costs and outcomes associated with a specific security.

Can I trade BPER Banca CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade BPER Banca CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.