Cardano (ADA), which has advanced to become the world’s fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, has shed value in the past month even as other cryptocurrencies like bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) have advanced to approach their all-time highs.
The ADA coin reached its all-time high in September, but has since retreated.
Why is the price not in step from the broader cryptocurrency markets? And when, if at all, will Cardano explode to new highs?
Let’s look at the project’s recent developments and some of the latest ADA predictions.
Cardano spikes to all-time high on smart contract launch
ADA, the native cryptocurrency on the Cardano blockchain, reached an all-time high of $3.10 on 2 September, up by 26% from its previous-all time high of $2.46 on 16 May during the broader cryptocurrency rally. The price jumped as developers InputOutput (IOHK) announced on 1 September that the Cardano testnet supported smart contracts. The launch on the live network followed on 12 September, with the implementation of the Alonzo hard fork.
IOHL said in a statement: “By allowing Plutus scripts to be written and executed on-chain, we’ll have the backbone for a new decentralised application (DApp) platform, enabling numerous DApp and decentralised finance (DeFi) use cases – from simple swap type apps to decentralised exchanges (DEXs), and more complex computational programs such as Oracles and crypto-backed algorithmic stablecoins.”
Of ADA’s $70.88bn market capitalisation, a total of $50.94bn has been staked, accounting for 71.97% of the coin’s total supply, according to data aggregated by PoolTool. That could support the ADA price, as only 28.03% of the supply has not been locked.
IOHK made several Cardano crypto news announcements during the Cardano Summit in late September.
On 26 September, the COTI platform was announced as the official issuer of Djed, a new stablecoin for Cardano.
Cardano also has announced partnerships with land restoration and tree planting verification company veritree to secure its records on the Cardano blockchain; esports and gaming platform Rival to develop NFT marketplaces; and fintech venture fund UBX for a public Cardano staking pool; and with AID:tech to provide technical guidance for its identity-based finance, payments and insurance products.
On 25 September, IOHK released news of a new Africa-focused Cardano fund that plans to invest $6m in blockchain projects across the continent. On 28 September, IOHK said that it has formed a strategic alliance with US-based Dish Network to explore using the Cardano blockchain across the satellite TV and mobile phone network.
Cardano price retreats from highs
ADA could not sustain the price gains as traders took profits, and the price fell back below $2.50 on 8 September. The price has continued to decline, falling to a one-month low of $1.92 on 21 September.
While bitcoin and ether bottomed out on that date, and have gone onto strong rallies, the ADA price remains under pressure. The coin has slipped from its position as the third largest cryptocurrency, falling behind BNB, a native coin of the Binance platform that was banned in the UK earlier this year. Several bitcoin alternatives (altcoins) such as AMP, avalanche, luna, and sushiswap have shed value over the past month as traders sold some of their positions to invest in the bitcoin rally. Will they return and will new investors invest in Cardano?
The coin moved up to $2.46 on 25 September, but then slipped back to $2.02 on 29 September. It has traded between $2.08 and $2.37 so far in October, even as bitcoin and ether have approached their all-time highs of $64,000 and $4,000, respectively.
What is the outlook for the Cardano future price? Will it rise and follow other cryptocurrencies to new highs, or will it remain under pressure?
Cardano price prediction: will ADA rebound in the future?
At the time of writing (18 October), short-term technical analysis from CoinCodex was bearish, with 14 indicators giving bullish signals and 15 bearish signals. The relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) were neutral, while the Hull Moving Average was giving a buy signal, and the Volume-weighted Moving Average (VWMA) a sell signal. The weekly moving averages were indicating ADA as a buy. CoinCodex predicted that the coin could trade at $2.23 by 23 October.
For the longer-term, the Cardano (ADA/USD) forecast from Wallet Investor is more bullish, predicting that the average price could reach $2.70 by the end of 2021, climb to $5.07 by the end of 2022 and by the end of 2025 hit $12.20.
The ADA coin price prediction from DigitalCoin projects that the price will average $3.89 in 2022, up from $3.15 in 2021, and climb to an average of $6.28 in 2025. It projects that by 2028, a Cardano investment will average $9.42, with a peak of $9.68 during that period.
PricePrediction is more bullish than Wallet Investor and DigitalCoin, estimating that the token’s price could average $10.51 in 2025, up from $3.49 in 2022, and reach $66.74 by 2030.
It’s important to keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets remain extremely volatile, making it difficult to accurately predict what a coin’s price will be in a few hours, and even harder to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts can and do get their predictions wrong.
We recommend that you always do your own research, and consider the latest market trends, news, technical and fundamental analysis, and expert opinion before making any investment decision. And never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Follow Capital.com to stay on top of the market’s latest news and spot potential trading opportunities.
There are 33.90 billion ADA coins in circulation, out of a total supply of 33.25 billion, according to data from CoinMarketCap. The circulating supply accounts for 71% of the maximum supply of 45 billion.
Whether ADA is a good addition to your portfolio depends on your personal financial circumstances, asset diversification and risk appetite. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, making them riskier than other forms of investment. You should never invest what you cannot afford to lose.
ADA’s price will be affected by the outcome of the recent upgrades to the Cardano blockchain.
Forecasting sites, including Wallet Investor, DigitalCoin and PricePrediction, predict that the price could rebound and reach new highs in the future. Whether you believe those predictions is a decision only you can make. And predictions are often wrong.
Forecasts such as those from DigitalCoin and Wallet Investor indicate that ADA could reach at least $10 over the long-term. Price Prediction suggests that the price could jump from $10 in 2025 to around $66 by 2030.
Whether you believe those predictions is a decision only you can make. As always, you should be aware that the past price performance is no guarantee of future returns. And never invest more than you can afford to lose.