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German business sentiment clouds over but no sign of recession - Ifo

By Reuters_News

08:08, 24 June 2022

A file photo of workers preparing a scaffolding at the construction site of Tesla's electric car factory in Gruenheide, near Berlin, Germany, March 4, 2022.
A file photo of workers preparing a scaffolding at the construction site of Tesla's electric car factory in Gruenheide, near Berlin, Germany, March 4, 2022.

- German business morale fell more than expected in June but a recession was not yet in sight despite rising energy prices and the threat of gas shortages, a survey showed on Friday.

The Ifo institute said its business climax index dropped to 92.3 following a reading of 93.0 in May, when the closely watched indicator posted a surprise recovery despite the economic impact of the Russia-Ukraine war.

A Reuters poll of analysts had pointed to a minimal fall in June to a reading of 92.9.

"Despite increased uncertainty, there are no signs of a recession at the moment," Ifo expert Klaus Wohlrabe told Reuters. "However, the threat of a gas shortage has significantly increased uncertainty among companies."

Not all sectors were suffering equally, as manufacturing and trade took significant hits while there was clear improvement in a services sector no longer encumbered by COVID-19 lockdowns, the data showed.

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However, supply bottlenecks - which are slowing down carmakers, for example - have eased only minimally and high inflation continued to suppress consumer spending, Wohlrabe said.

 

Reporting by Rachel More, Rene Wagner and Miranda Murray;
Editing by Paul Carrel

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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