Netflix stock forecast 2025–2030: Third-party price targets

Netflix (NFLX) traded at $1,213.88 as of 08:52 UTC on 15 October 2025, near the middle of its intraday range of $1,206.55 to $1,228.97.

By Dan Mitchell4 hours ago

Netflix stock forecast 2025–2030: Third-party price targets — Photo: Shutterstock.com

Netflix closed at $1,220.08 on 10 October 2025 and $1,219.03 on 14 October, remaining below its early September high of $1,263.25.

Recent price action shows mixed signals ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings release, scheduled for 21 October 2025 after market close (Netflix, 15 September 2025). The US dollar index fell to around 98.89 on 15 October, down 0.18%, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on labour market weakness reinforced expectations of near-term rate cuts (Trading Economics, 15 October 2025). Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.02% (Trading Economics, 15 October 2025).

Netflix stock forecast: Analyst price target view

Jefferies Financial Group (reiterated)

Jefferies maintained its ‘Buy’ rating with a $1,500 price target ahead of third-quarter results due on 21 October. It cited strong content performance, including KPop Demon Hunters, and robust Nielsen viewership data for July and August. Analyst James Heaney expects year-on-year revenue growth of over 17% on an ex-foreign-exchange basis in the third quarter, with annual guidance in January 2026 highlighted as a key catalyst for a potential share re-rating (Jefferies, 14 October 2025).

Goldman Sachs (updated)

Goldman Sachs revised its price target to $1,300 from $1,310 while maintaining a Neutral rating. Analyst Eric Sheridan cited concerns around streaming competition and the pace of pricing adjustments in key markets amid the second-half 2025 content line-up. The firm expects consumption habits, retention, and monetisation trends to remain resilient, while noting investor focus on average revenue per member growth as the ad-supported tier continues to expand (MarketBeat, 30 September 2025).

Evercore ISI (reaffirmed)

Evercore ISI reiterated its Outperform rating and $1,375 price target, pointing to strong U.S. market penetration, high subscriber satisfaction, 14.84% revenue growth, and a 37.66% year-to-date share gain as supportive factors. The firm foresees mid-20% earnings per share growth through 2028, driven by momentum in key markets such as Mexico and by new revenue streams from live events and advertising (Yahoo Finance, 30 September 2025).

Takeaway: Wall Street’s twelve-month price targets span $1,300 to $1,500, reflecting differing perspectives on competitive positioning, engagement trends, and the scaling of advertising revenue ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings on 21 October.

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they do not account for unforeseen market events. Past performance should not be relied upon as an indicator of future results.

NFLX stock price: Technical overview

Netflix (NFLX) traded at $1,213.88 as of 8:52am UTC on 15 October 2025, trading above its 20- and 50-day simple moving averages near $1,204 and $1,212, while remaining below the 100-day SMA at $1,222 and the 200-day SMA at $1,104. The 20-over-50 alignment remains intact, indicating a constructive near-term bias. The 14-day RSI is at 52.6, in neutral territory, while the Average Directional Index sits at 17.8, signalling a weak trend environment. Both the 10-day Momentum and MACD level indicators show buy signals, although the Stochastic RSI has entered overbought territory at 83.6.

The first area to watch on the upside is the Classic R1 pivot at $1,253, roughly 3% above current levels; a daily close through that zone would put the $1,307 level (R2) back in view. On the downside, initial support sits at the Classic pivot near $1,213, followed by the 200-day exponential moving average around $1,100 – a break below this could signal a move toward the Classic S1 at $1,159. Price has traded between $1,206 and $1,229 intraday on 15 October, reflecting consolidation ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings release set for 21 October after market close (TradingView, 15 October 2025).

This is technical analysis provided for informational purposes only and does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Netflix share price history

Netflix listed its shares through an IPO in May 2002 at $15 each, reaching an all-time high of $1,341.42 on 1 July 2025.

Throughout late 2023 and early 2024, NFLX experienced a period of volatility. The stock opened October 2023 near $410 before declining to $344.66 on 18 October amid broader weakness across the tech sector. Shares then recovered steadily into year-end 2023, closing at $485.95 on 29 December. January 2024 brought sharp price swings: NFLX fell to $461.73 on 2 January, rose above $500 mid-month, and later eased back into the $470 range as earnings expectations adjusted.

Spring 2024 signalled the start of a sustained rally. After touching a low of $539.85 on 2 May, Netflix advanced beyond $650 by late May and held above $600 through the summer, supported by subscriber growth and expanding advertising revenue. The stock moved higher again in October 2024 following stronger-than-expected third-quarter results – rising from $702 on 17 October to $770 by 21 October – and maintained those levels into year-end.

2025 opened with continued fluctuations: shares pulled back to $822 in mid-January, climbed above $997 on 21 January, then declined into April, reaching a low of $806.99 on 7 April as tariff concerns and Federal Reserve comments weighed on growth stocks. A rebound followed, with NFLX rising above $1,000 in late April, surpassing $1,200 in June, and peaking at $1,341 on 1 July. The stock later eased through August – falling as low as $1,140 on 6 August – before consolidating within the $1,180–$1,260 range through September.

Netflix last closed at $1,213.88 on 14 October 2025, up approximately 36.2% year to date and 68.5% year on year.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for Netflix CFDs

As of 15 October 2025, Capital.com clients’ positioning in Netflix CFDs is currently weighted towards the buy side, with 86.6% long and 13.4% short, giving buyers a lead of 73.2 percentage points and indicating sentiment remains strongly tilted towards long positions.

This snapshot represents open positions on Capital.com and is subject to change.

FAQ

Is Netflix a good stock to buy?

Whether Netflix is a good stock to buy depends on individual goals, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Analysts currently hold a range of views and it’s important to note that forecasts are often inaccurate. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Could Netflix stock go up or down?

Netflix’s share price may rise or fall depending on factors such as subscriber growth, advertising expansion, and broader market sentiment. The stock has experienced periods of volatility, trading between $1,140 and $1,341 during 2025. Price movements reflect changing market conditions rather than predictable trends. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Should I invest in Netflix stock?

This article does not provide investment advice. Anyone considering exposure to Netflix should conduct independent research, assess prevailing market conditions, and ensure they understand the risks involved in trading or investing. CFDs are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses.

What are the main factors influencing Netflix’s share price?

Key influences include subscriber trends, content performance, competition across the streaming sector, and global advertising revenue. Broader economic indicators – such as interest rates, consumer spending, and exchange rate movements – may also influence valuation and share price volatility.