Sterling steady after UK GDP data; Fed official up next

By Reuters News

By Javi West Larrañaga

- The pound was little changed against the dollar on Thursday, after UK economic growth data matched expectations and markets awaited comments from a key Federal Reserve policymaker.

Sterling was down 0.06% at $1.3271, but edged up to 83.57 pence per euro , near May 2025 highs.

The dollar, meanwhile, climbed to a 19-month high against a basket of major currencies .

Official data showed Britain's gross domestic product grew 0.7% in the third quarter, in line with expectations and the fastest pace in two and a half years.

The figures had little immediate impact on sterling but supported the Bank of England's decision last week to raise interest rates, said Kenneth Broux, FX and rates strategist at Societe Generale.

"The GDP numbers were good news ... they show you there's good momentum in AI roll-out and services in the UK economy, and that's helping growth forward," he said.

The BoE raised rates for the first time in more than three years last Thursday and signalled at least one more increase was likely if the US-Iran conflict continues. Markets currently assign a roughly 75% chance of another rate hike in December.

"Whether there's a majority for that, we'll have to wait and see," Broux said. "It could very well be another split vote."

Money markets are pricing in another three BoE rate increases by December 2027, with about a 50% chance of a fourth.

Attention later in the day will be on comments from New York Fed President John Williams after hotter-than-expected US inflation data and hawkish comments from several Fed officials reinforced expectations for further tightening.

Markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a 25-basis-point Fed rate increase in December, according to IRPR data , though investors remain divided over the outlook for January. A total of three Fed rate hikes are priced in by December 2027.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.