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Perpetual expects RBA to raise rates 25 basis points, then pause tightening

By Public Technologies
  • The RBA is expected to raise rates 25 basis points to 4.85% on November 3, then pause until at least February.
  • Australian markets price in one and a quarter further 25-basis-point increases, with potential rate cuts in the second half of next year.
  • The Nasdaq’s 9% decline from its October peak has lowered expected peak interest rates, outweighing rising oil prices in bond markets.
  • AI investment is expected to remain substantial over the next few years, limiting scope for early or significant interest rate cuts.
  • The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates again in December, with elevated inflation keeping Australian and US rates higher for longer.


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