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Perpetual expects RBA to hold rates steady for extended period

By Public Technologies
  • The RBA is likely to hold rates for an extended period while assessing the impact of five increases in 2026.
  • Markets price Australian rates peaking at 4.85%, with a full 25-basis-point cut priced by the December 2027 board meeting.
  • The analysis favors rates staying higher for longer, arguing an investment boom could delay Australian easing beyond late 2027.
  • Strong October payrolls make a December 9 Federal Reserve rate increase likely; markets price only a 70% chance.
  • Falling technology shares and lower oil prices fueled bond rallies, reducing expectations for further US monetary tightening.


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