Kaiser Aluminum Q3 sales slightly miss estimates

By Reuters News


Overview

  • US specialty aluminum producer's Q3 sales rose but slightly missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS and adjusted net income for Q3 missed analyst expectations

  • Company cited strong demand and improved conversion revenue, but faced metal price lag and operational headwinds


Outlook

  • Kaiser Aluminum maintains full-year 2026 outlook for Conversion Revenue growth at high end of 10%-15% range

  • Company expects 2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth toward lower end of 45%-55% range versus 2025


Result Drivers

  • STRONG DEMAND - Co said demand remained strong in aerospace/high strength and general engineering end markets

  • HIGHER SHIPMENTS - Co attributed increased shipments to added capacity at Trentwood facility and recovery from prior year partial outage

  • METAL PRICE LAG - Co said unfavorable metal price lag compared to prior year reduced EBITDA growth


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Sales

Slight Miss*

$1.21 bln

$1.21 bln (4 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$1.89

$2.36 (4 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$1.84

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

Miss

$32 mln

$37.72 mln (4 Analysts)

Q3 Net Income

$31 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the aluminum peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is $181.00, about 18.7% above its October 20 closing price of $152.54

  • The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 19 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 19 - China aluminium output hits record quarterly high despite capacity cap

  • Oct 19 - Europe aluminium premium could hit $1,000 if US cuts Canada tariffs, Harbor says

  • Oct 20 - Apple commits up to $100 million for US titanium in domestic manufacturing push


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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