Grand Canyon Education Q3 service revenue rises on higher university partner enrollments

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Education services provider's Q3 service revenue rose 2.4% yr/yr, driven by higher enrollments

  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA decreased 3.2%, pretax profit missed

  • Company approved $355 mln increase to share repurchase program


Outlook

  • Grand Canyon Education sees Q4 2026 service revenue between $320.5 mln and $321.5 mln

  • Company expects 2026 service revenue of $1.1607 bln to $1.1617 bln

  • Company forecasts 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $10.09 to $10.13


Result Drivers

  • ENROLLMENT GROWTH - Co said higher university partner enrollments drove Q3 service revenue increase

  • REVENUE SHIFT - Co said fewer days of revenue for ground students led to shift of revenue from Q3 to Q4, impacting per-student revenue

  • ONLINE TUITION MIX - Co said revenue per online student declined due to mix shift toward students with lower net tuition rates


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Net Income

$43.01 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$73.50 mln

Q3 Pretax Profit

Miss

$53.76 mln

$55.51 mln (3 Analysts)

Q3 Operating Income

$51.47 mln

Q3 Service revenue

$267.35 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous educational service providers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Grand Canyon Education Inc is $194.62, about 29.2% above its November 4 closing price of $150.67

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 2 - HealthStream Q3 revenue, adjusted EBITDA beat estimates; raises 2026 outlook

  • Nov 3 - Duolingo Q3 daily active users accelerated to 29% on gains in every region; shares soar

  • Nov 3 - Hackett Group Q3 adj EPS beats estimates


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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