EMERGING MARKETS-Latam markets mixed as investors weigh regional data, US rate outlook

By Reuters News
Chilean coins of 100 pesos are seen next to banknotes of 1000, 5000, 10,000 and 20,000 pesos in this picture illustration, August 16, 2016. REUTERS/Rodrigo Garrido/Illustration

By Ragini Mathur, Sudeshna Ghoshal and Avinash P

- Latin American assets were mixed on Friday, as investors weighed the outlook for US interest rates alongside regional economic data and central bank signals.

Chile's peso weakened to a session low of 1003.06 a dollar, its lowest level since April 2025, before reversing losses to trade slightly higher, while the country's 2042 and 2054 dollar bonds each fell about 1 cent, according to Tradeweb data.

Copper, Chile's top export and a key driver of its assets, was poised for its biggest weekly dip since March. MET/L

The metal has benefited from AI-related investment, but sentiment weakened after Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang resigned on Thursday, adding to concerns that spending on AI infrastructure buildout could slow.

MSCI's Latin American currency index .MILA00000CUS eased 0.1% and remained on course for a third straight weekly decline. The regional equities index .MILA00000PUS rose 0.54%, leaving it broadly flat for the week.

The dollar edged higher and remained at 19-month highs as stronger-than-expected US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again.

Higher US yields tend to draw capital into dollar-denominated assets, putting pressure on emerging market currencies. Weaker currencies can also fuel imported inflation, limiting central banks' room to cut rates.

In Mexico, investors assessed mixed signals from Washington on trade. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he expected the US to reach trade deals with Mexico and Canada, a day after President Donald Trump threatened to double tariffs on Mexico over a migrant caravan.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said on Friday that no migrant caravans are headed toward the northern border with the US.

The Mexican peso rose 0.33%, while the benchmark stock index .MXX fell 0.8%, retreating after reaching a record high in the prior session.

Mexico's central bank last week cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%.

"Obviously, you got a lot of relief from lower interest rates because that came as somewhat of a surprise," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex.

"You're looking at a world in which the US, over the past few years, has spent time focusing on imposing tariffs. But now, given the potential for friction within the US government, there appears to be less of a threat from that."

Elsewhere, Peru's central bank raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.50% late on Thursday, as expected, warning that supply shocks, firmer inflation expectations and strong domestic demand were complicating inflation's return to target.

Andres Abadia of Pantheon Macroeconomics expects the bank to hold in December, but said another hike remains a real possibility.

Peruvian stocks .MIPE00000PUS fell 0.23%, while the sol appreciated 0.1%.

Brazil's retail sales rose 0.1% in September from the previous month, defying forecasts for a 0.3% decline.

Brazil's Senate on Thursday approved the main text of a fiscal package backed by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's government that combines spending curbs with revenue measures aimed at meeting fiscal targets. Senators are due to vote on amendments next week.

The real fell 0.24% and remained pinned at 17-month lows, while Brazil's benchmark Bovespa index .BVSP gained 0.63%.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1941 GMT:


Stock indexes

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

1549.55

-0.36

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

2813.09

0.54

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

172405

0.63

Mexico IPC .MXX

71218.7

-0.82

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

2433.86

-0.78




Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real

5.6528

-0.24

Mexico peso

18.53

0.33

Chile peso

993.39

0.14

Colombia peso

3312.61

-0.23

Peru sol

3.4007

0.11

Argentina peso (interbank)

1,543.50

0.13

Argentina peso (parallel)

1,555.00

0.64

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.