Canada's Pan American Silver Q3 adjusted EPS misses estimates as silver, gold production drop below outlook  

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Canada-based silver and gold miner's Q3 adjusted EPS missed analyst expectations

  • Q3 revenue rose to $1.01 bln

  • Company returned $300 mln to shareholders in Q3 via dividends and share repurchases


Outlook

  • Pan American sees 2026 silver production at low end of 25-27 mln oz guidance range

  • 2026 gold production guidance lowered to 660-680k oz from 700-750k oz

  • 2026 gold segment AISC forecast raised to $2,000-$2,150/oz from $1,700-$1,850/oz


Result Drivers

  • LOWER SILVER PRODUCTION - Co said Q3 silver output was below outlook due to mine sequencing at Juanicipio and Cerro Moro

  • LOWER GOLD PRODUCTION - Q3 gold output was below outlook, mainly reflecting lower production at Timmins and Shahuindo

  • HIGHER GOLD SEGMENT COSTS - Gold segment all-in sustaining costs rose above outlook due to lower production and higher development, labour and consumables costs


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

$1.006 bln

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.69

$1.23 (3 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$0.86

Q3 Net Income

$357 mln

Q3 Dividend

$0.185


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the diversified mining peer group is "buy"

  • The stock recently traded at 7 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 4 - Canada's Aris Mining YTD gold production rises 16%

  • Nov 3 - SSR Mining Q3 revenue and adjusted net income rise year over year

  • Nov 3 - Hecla Mining's Q3 revenue rises 18%, beats estimates


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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