Canada's Lundin Mining Q3 revenue up on copper prices; cuts FY copper production forecast on severe weather

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Canada copper miner's Q3 revenue exceeded $1.1 bln, driven by record copper prices

  • Q3 adjusted EPS was $0.32, net income reached $271.8 mln

  • Company lowered full-year copper production guidance due to weather-related disruptions at Caserones


Outlook

  • Lundin Mining now sees 2026 consolidated copper production at 285,000–310,000 tonnes

  • Caserones 2026 copper production guidance cut to 105,000–115,000 tonnes due to severe weather

  • Company expects 2026 copper cash cost of $1.95/lb–$2.15/lb


Result Drivers

  • COPPER PRICES - Record copper prices contributed to strong Q3 revenue and cash flow

  • PRODUCTION GAINS - Candelaria copper output rose 13% from Q2, Chapada hit highest copper and gold production of 2026

  • WEATHER DISRUPTIONS - Severe winter storms and Super El Niño constrained Caserones mining, prompting further copper production guidance cuts


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

$1.11 bln

Q3 Adjusted EPS

$0.32

Q3 EPS

$0.27

Q3 Net Income

$271.80 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$647.70 mln

Q3 Free Cash Flow

$311.80 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the diversified mining peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Lundin Mining Corporation is C$41.50, about 38.7% above its November 3 closing price of C$29.91

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 3 - Canada's Ivanhoe Mines Q3 profit rises, lowers 2027 Kamoa-Kakula copper guidance

  • Nov 3 - SSR Mining Q3 revenue and adjusted net income rise year over year

  • Nov 3 - Hecla Mining's Q3 revenue rises 18%, beats estimates


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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