Canada's Lundin Mining Q3 revenue up on copper prices; cuts FY copper production forecast on severe weather
Overview
Canada copper miner's Q3 revenue exceeded $1.1 bln, driven by record copper prices
Q3 adjusted EPS was $0.32, net income reached $271.8 mln
Company lowered full-year copper production guidance due to weather-related disruptions at Caserones
Outlook
Lundin Mining now sees 2026 consolidated copper production at 285,000–310,000 tonnes
Caserones 2026 copper production guidance cut to 105,000–115,000 tonnes due to severe weather
Company expects 2026 copper cash cost of $1.95/lb–$2.15/lb
Result Drivers
COPPER PRICES - Record copper prices contributed to strong Q3 revenue and cash flow
PRODUCTION GAINS - Candelaria copper output rose 13% from Q2, Chapada hit highest copper and gold production of 2026
WEATHER DISRUPTIONS - Severe winter storms and Super El Niño constrained Caserones mining, prompting further copper production guidance cuts
Company press release:
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q3 Revenue | $1.11 bln | ||
Q3 Adjusted EPS | $0.32 | ||
Q3 EPS | $0.27 | ||
Q3 Net Income | $271.80 mln | ||
Q3 Adjusted EBITDA | $647.70 mln | ||
Q3 Free Cash Flow | $311.80 mln |
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the diversified mining peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Lundin Mining Corporation is C$41.50, about 38.7% above its November 3 closing price of C$29.91
The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago
Reuters Recommended Reads
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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)