Air France-KLM returns to profit growth in Q3; raises FY fuel cost forecast

By Reuters News


Overview

  • France-Netherlands airline group's Q3 revenue rose 7.6% yr/yr to €9.9 bln

  • Adjusted operating profit increased to €1,346 mln, returning to growth as revenue growth offset higher fuel costs

  • KLM announced new structural measures to improve operational and financial performance


Outlook

  • Air France-KLM expects FY 2026 capacity up by about 2% versus 2025, revised from +2% to +3%

  • Company forecasts FY 2026 unit cost up about 1%, including 0.5% from premiumization (previously 0% to +2%)

  • FY 2026 fuel bill expected at USD 9.2bln, up from previous USD 8.9bln guidance


Result Drivers

  • RESILIENT TRAVEL DEMAND - Co said strong demand for travel across key markets drove unit revenue growth in both Passenger and Cargo businesses

  • PREMIUMIZATION - Co attributed higher yields and unit revenue growth to continued focus on premium cabins and services

  • COST DISCIPLINE - Co said strict cost management kept unit costs stable despite higher fuel prices and premiumization


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

EUR 9.92 bln

Q3 Net Income

EUR 938 mln

Q3 Operating Margin

13.60%


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", 11 "hold" and 4 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the airlines peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Air France KLM SA is €12.15, about 7.8% above its November 4 closing price of €11.28

  • The stock recently traded at 3 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 3 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 5 - KLM sees 1,000 fewer jobs in push to restore profitability

  • Nov 3 - Lufthansa cuts 2026 outlook as jet fuel bill hits €9.3 billion

  • Nov 2 - Ireland's Ryanair H1 profit falls 15% as fuel costs rise


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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