ASML stock forecast: Third-party price targets

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is trading at €747.75, rebounding from its intraday low of €741.65 and below the session high of €751.50 as of 09:48 UTC on 16 September 2025.

By Dan Mitchell5 hours ago Updated

Shares gained in early Amsterdam trading after ASML committed €1.3bn as the largest investor in French AI startup Mistral AI, highlighting a strategic push into artificial intelligence. Demand for semiconductor lithography equipment remains supported by ongoing capital expenditure in chip manufacturing (Reuters, 9 September 2025).

ASML stock forecast 2025-2030: Analyst price targets

Barclays (equal weight)

Barclays raised its price target to €680 on 9 September 2025, citing ASML Holding’s sustained double-digit revenue growth and leadership in High-NA EUV technology. Barclays noted this reflects 'years of double-digit growth' even as 'customer uncertainties persist' (AInvest, 9 September 2025).

UBS (buy)

UBS lifted its projection to €750 on 5 September 2025, stating that the recent underperformance is 'well understood' and positioning ASML as a 'quality compounder' with an expected inflection in High-NA EUV adoption between 2027 and 2028. The bank pointed to reduced Chinese market risks and a solid EPS CAGR of 20% from 2026-2030 (Yahoo Finance, 5 September 2025).

Wolfe Research (outperform)

Wolfe Research maintained its Outperform rating with an €800 target on 5 September 2025, citing upside from capital expenditure by TSMC on EUV tools and a shift toward higher-value machines. Wolfe expects 2025 guidance to hold, supported by strong installed-base service revenues (Investing.com Australia, 5 September 2025).

BofA Securities (neutral)

BofA Securities cut its target to €724 on 5 September 2025, after lowering Q3-Q4 booking forecasts amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. It warned near-term growth may slow, while 'long-term demand remains intact'. The firm flagged possible delays in High-NA roll-out and customer order timing (Investing.com Australia, 4 September 2025).

Takeaway: Analyst targets range from €680-€879, with most views underpinned by AI-driven EUV demand, High-NA adoption and the resilience of ASML’s service model.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Predictions and third-party forecasts are frequently inaccurate, as they can’t account for unforeseen market developments. Past performance or forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results.

ASML stock price: Technical overview

On the daily chart, ASML trades above its key moving averages – the 20/50/100/200-DMAs at ~663 / 645 / 652 / 662 – with a 20-over-50 alignment intact. Momentum is stretched: the RSI(14) stands at 78.1, suggesting overbought conditions.

The first level to watch on the upside is the 780.6 pivot; a daily close above would put the 800 area in focus. On pullbacks, initial support is at the 629.3 pivot and then the 200-day SMA near ~662 (TradingView, 16 September 2025).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade.

Past performance isn’t a reliable indicator of future results.

Follow the ASML Holding stock price with our ASML live price chart.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for ASML Holding

Capital.com client positioning in ASML CFDs is predominantly long: 96.9% buyers vs 3.1% sellers, leaving buyers ahead by 93.8 pp (16 September 2025). This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com and may change.

FAQ

Who owns the most ASML Holding stock?

BlackRock is the largest institutional shareholder of ASML, holding about 7.94% of outstanding shares as of September 2025. The Vanguard Group follows with around 3.23%, while Norway’s sovereign wealth fund (Norges Bank Investment Management) holds 2.52%. Institutional investors collectively own a large share of ASML, with retail and public investors accounting for the remainder (TIKR, 22 August 2025).

Is ASML Holding a good stock to buy?

Whether ASML suits a portfolio depends on individual investment objectives and risk tolerance. As of September 2025, analyst sentiment is largely positive, with targets between €680-€879. The company holds a near-monopoly in EUV lithography equipment used in advanced chipmaking. Considerations include semiconductor cycles, geopolitical risks linked to China, and the pace of next-generation technology adoption.

Could ASML Holding stock go up or down?

ASML’s share price can move with semiconductor cycles, customer spending, and geopolitical factors affecting trade. Potential catalysts include AI-driven chip demand, High-NA EUV deployment, and sustained foundry investment. Risks include export controls, restrictions in China, or downturns in chip spending.

Should I invest in ASML Holding stock?

Any decision should align with individual strategy and risk appetite. ASML CFDs provide exposure to long-term semiconductor growth trends and AI demand, underpinned by its technological leadership. However, the stock is cyclical and subject to regulatory uncertainty. Independent research and diversification remain important considerations. Contracts for difference (CFDs) involve margin. Leverage higher than 1:1 magnifies both your potential gains and your potential losses.