South African rand heads for fourth weekly loss as dollar strengthens and yields rise

By Reuters News

- The South African rand was set for a weekly loss of nearly 2% on Friday, pressured by a stronger dollar and rising global bond yields as investors reduced exposure to riskier assets.

  • The rand was up 0.2% at 16.6675 against the dollar by 0858 GMT, barely trimming the previous session's losses, as higher US Treasury yields continued to weigh on emerging market assets.

  • The currency tumbled about 1.5% on Thursday despite supportive domestic data, including lower than expected producer inflation ZAPPIY=ECI, a trade surplus ZATBAL=ECI that exceeded forecasts and a survey showing manufacturing sentiment improved after three months of contraction.

  • ETM Analytics said higher US bond yields were a headwind for emerging and frontier markets because they tend to draw capital away from riskier assets and pressure local currencies.

  • The note added that a prolonged bond selloff could trigger a deeper correction in global equity markets.

  • The rand has weakened for four straight weeks and was on track for its sharpest decline during that stretch while the dollar was set for a third consecutive weekly gain.

  • Investor focus will be on the US payrolls report due later in the day, with data expected to show that job growth slowed in September.

  • ETM Analytics said a robust jobs report could calm market nerves and support the rand.

  • On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index .JTOPI was up 0.9% in early trade.

  • South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond strengthened slightly, with the yield down 2 basis points at 8.845%.

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