The US earnings season has started on a positive note, with major banks exceeding expectations and boosting market sentiment.Key themes for the sector include investments in artificial intelligence, capital expenditure returns, and consumer trends in advertising and e-commerce. The S&P 500 continues to climb, driven by strong earnings, resilient economic growth, and the potential for interest rate cuts. Keep an eye on significant support and resistance levels as the market tests new record highs.
Australia's labour market remained stable in September 2024, with the unemployment rate forecast to hold at 4.2%, supported by a 25,200 person rise in employment. Despite the economy teetering on the edge of recession, strong hiring trends persist, challenging market economists' predictions.
Earnings growth across the S&P 500 is expected to be modest in Q3, with a projected 4.2% increase in EPS, down from 7.8% in the previous quarter. Information technology, health care, and communication services are poised to drive growth, particularly IT with a forecasted 15% year-over-year EPS increase.
US inflation expectations are steady, with core CPI projected to remain at 3.2% for September while headline inflation moderates to its lowest level since February 2021. Despite the US Federal Reserve delivering a 50 basis point interest rate cut in September, stronger-than-expected job market data has raised concerns about sustained economic demand and inflation pressures.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is set to cut interest rates during its upcoming meeting, with expectations of either a 25 or 50 basis point reduction. This move follows a 25 basis point cut in August as the RBNZ responded to the country’s recessionary conditions and inflation concerns.
Markets are reacting with a US Dollar surge and a potential trend reversal, highlighting the impact of robust economic activity outside of monetary policy influences.
Kyle Rodda, Senior Market Analyst at Capital.com, previews the US Non-Farm Payrolls report for September. The article discusses market expectations of a stable labor market with 150,000 new jobs, an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.2%, and steady annual wage growth at 3.8%. It also highlights potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, revisions to past payroll data, and the reaction of various markets such as the US Dollar, S&P 500, and gold.
RBA Governor Michelle Bullock emphasizes inflation challenges for Australia's economy, citing supply shocks and demand-supply imbalances. Discover insights on CPI trends, interest rates, and the central bank's strategy for managing price pressures in 2024.
The BoE is forecasted to leave rates unchanged in September as UK CPI remains stubborn.
Discover the US Federal Reserve’s latest 50 basis point cut and how the markets reacted. Stocks surged, the US Dollar fell, and the Fed hints at more aggressive cuts ahead.
The Bank of Japan will meet on September 20, 2024, with markets anticipating minimal policy changes. However, inflation risks remain, with core CPI at 2.7% and potential for future interest rate hikes.
As the US Federal Reserve prepares for its most significant decision since ending the rate hike cycle in mid-2023, the balance of risks has shifted. With inflation stabilizing at 2.6% and rising unemployment at 4.2%, the FOMC faces increasing pressure to address employment concerns. Markets anticipate a rate cut, with debate on the extent of the reduction.
Overview of upcoming US inflation data for August, with expectations for a year-over-year CPI drop to 2.6% and core CPI holding steady at 3.2%. Markets will also focus on U.S. PPI data, which is forecasted to show mild growth, reinforcing potential easing inflationary pressures.
What’s next for Lloyds amid higher inflation and the start of a potential recessionary cycle in the UK?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. We preview what to expect from the meeting and its possible impact on the NZD/USD.