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Rangebound gold dips as dollar finds support

By Neil Dennis

13:07, 6 December 2021

A selection of gold ingots
Dollar gains leave gold in the cold – Photo: Shutterstock

Gold prices dipped on Monday as the fears surrounding new variants of coronavirus reduced the appeal of haven assets, while the dollar, supported by an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve, traded close to 17-month highs.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,779 (£889) an ounce in midday trade in London on Monday.

Three weeks ago, the precious metal was trading around the $1,880-an-ounce mark as the Fed maintained its “transitory” inflation stance, playing down the prospects of near-term interest rate increases.

Further support was seen during recent concerns over the rising rates of Covid infections around the world, which have underpinned a period of turbulence in equity markets.

Hawkish Fed

However, increasingly hawkish signals from the Fed about persistently high inflation have weakened the appeal of gold as a hedge against rising price and steered investor focus towards the prospect of tighter monetary policy.

The Fed has already begun reducing its monthly asset purchases, and aims – at the current rate of tapering – to end its quantitative easing (QE) programme by mid-2022.

Silver

23.02 Price
-3.350% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0204%
Short position overnight fee 0.0122%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.020

Natural Gas

2.52 Price
-0.450% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee 0.0718%
Short position overnight fee -0.0937%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.0050

Oil - Crude

71.41 Price
+2.320% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0204%
Short position overnight fee -0.0015%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.030

Gold

2,004.85 Price
-1.180% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0198%
Short position overnight fee 0.0116%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.50

Last week, however, chair Jerome Powell told a congressional committee that “transitory” was no longer an appropriate description of rising price pressures, leading markets to price in the likelihood of a quicker ending to QE and subsequent rate increases.

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Dollar rally

This development has supported the US Dollar Index, which now trades close to its highest level since July 2020. A stronger dollar also weakens the appeal of gold, which is denominated in the US currency. The higher the dollar moves, the more expensive it becomes for investors to buy in non-dollar currencies.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo bank, described the current gold market as “noisy, but rangebound and struggling for direction”.

He added: “What could change that in the short term remains unclear with the metal on one hand finding support from persistently low real yields and raised virus uncertainties, and on the other struggling with the potential for a more aggressive inflation fighting stance from the US Federal Reserve.”

Read more: US Fed chair grilled on inflation outlook

Markets in this article

Gold
Gold
2004.85 USD
-23.96 -1.180%
DXY
US Dollar Index
103.690 USD
0.355 +0.340%

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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