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A tale of two crises. Can any contrasts or comparisons be drawn and lessons be learned from two sterling crashes?
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Recent gains in the EUR/USD exchange rate have been driven by the price gap between US and European natural gas, not the ECB's outsized rate hike in September.
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Global commodities had mixed performances this week. Metals have been aided by a dollar weakening, while energy suffered recent political developments.
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The dollar index (DXY) is about to end the week in the red (-1%), after reaching its highest peaks in the last twenty years, as profit taking behaviour emerged
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With the dollar at its highest level in 20 years and major central banks competing to raise interest rates, the forex market is bracing for a volatile month.
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Seasonal patterns affect the stock market performance. September is a risk-off month, whereas April, November, and December are risk-on months. Surprisingly, stocks perform significantly better in odd years than in even years.
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Gold and the US dollar have historically had strong starts to the year. The precious metal's average return in January was 1.6%, while the US dollar rose by 1%.
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The major trend in EUR/CAD remains bearish, with no signs of a reversal in global oil prices or Euro Area-Canada rate differentials.
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Fed members indicate they will tighten interest rates into restrictive territory to curb inflationary pressures, reviving the dollar's bull trend.
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The widening divergences between Europe’s Dutch TTF and Henry Hub natural gas prices are adding a further downside risk for the EUR/USD pair.
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Market pricing of future Fed interest rate cuts is a positive catalyst for precious metals such as gold and silver. However, the final answer is determined by the inflation trend.
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According to Peter Schiff, precious metals would be the best inflation hedge for investors. This thesis was supported by historical analysis.
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EUR/USD recovered 1.025 levels, boosted by rising expectations of an ECB half-point raise at tomorrow’s meeting
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Capital.com's study shows that the current commodities supercycle has already provided returns comparable to the mature periods of the preceding supercycle.