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US English

Oil prices fall on uncertain new year demand

By Jenal Mehta

12:10, 15 December 2021

Photo of oil rig at sea with boat
Rig – Credit: Shutter Stock

The World Health Organisation (WHO) is due to have a meeting today on the implications of the Omicron Covid variant.

On Tuesday, WHO director-general Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus made a statement warning countries should not underestimate the new strain.  

He said Omicron already existed in most countries and vaccines alone would not stop the spread. The WHO meeting today will bring more clarity to the situation.

Prior to the discovery of Omicron, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had decided to go ahead with an increase in oil supply for January 2022.

Increased demand

As it stands, OPEC expects demand to increase in the first quarter of 2022. “The impact of the new Omicron variant is expected to be mild and short-lived, as the world becomes better equipped to manage Covid-19 and its related challenges,” it said.

However, oil supplies have already been anticipated to be greater than demand during the remainder of 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

The discovery of Omicron has brought excess supply concerns into focus, potentially causing oil prices to fall further than expected in the new year.

Silver

23.95 Price
-0.850% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0201%
Short position overnight fee 0.0119%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.020

Oil - Brent

74.32 Price
-3.530% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0119%
Short position overnight fee -0.0100%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.032

Gold

2,027.20 Price
+0.390% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0196%
Short position overnight fee 0.0114%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.30

Oil - Crude

69.48 Price
-3.770% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0207%
Short position overnight fee -0.0013%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.030

Oil prices appear to be stable for now, with Brent crude trading at around $73 and US WTI crude at around $70, a slight decline from yesterday.

Six-month oil price chartSix-month Brent and WTI crude oil spot price chart as of 15 December 2021 – Credit: Koyfin

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted warmer weather this winter for most of the United States, keeping demand for natural gas low. US Natural Gas traded around $3.80, almost 25% lower than four weeks ago.

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Six-month natural gas price chartSix-month natural gas spot price chart as of 15 December 2021 – Credit: Koyfin

Performance

Brent crude oil

  • Day range: $73.03 - $75.16
  • 52 week range: $49.13 - $86.70
  • 52 week price change: 44.64%
  • 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): $74.04
  • 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): 40.37

US crude oil

  • Day range: $69.58 - $70.43
  • 52 week range: $46.16 - £83.83
  • 52 week price change: 48.53%
  • 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): $70.79
  • 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): 41.15

US natural gas

  • Day range: $3.68 - $3.84
  • 52 week range: $2.26 - $6.47
  • 52 week price change: 41.72%
  • 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): $3.96
  • 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): 36.94

Read more: Cleaner energy to dampen oil, gas and coal demand after 2025

Oil prices retreats on lower travel expectation due to Omicron

 

Markets in this article

Oil - Brent
Brent Oil
74.323 USD
-2.722 -3.530%
Oil - Crude
Crude Oil
69.475 USD
-2.718 -3.770%
Natural Gas
Natural Gas
2.5650 USD
-0.118 -4.400%

Related topics

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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