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PRECIOUS-Fed slowdown bets steer gold toward second quarterly rise

By Reuters_News

09:37, 31 March 2023

A file photo shows a part of a stack of 500 Canadian gold coins, worth $1 million USD according to Sprott Money, is displayed at the precious metals dealer's booth at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) annual conference in Toronto
A file photo shows a part of a stack of 500 Canadian gold coins, worth $1 million USD according to Sprott Money, is displayed at the precious metals dealer's booth at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) annual conference in Toronto, Ontario, Canada March 7, 2023.

By Ashitha Shivaprasad

- Gold prices slipped on Friday, but the safe-haven metal was bound for its second straight quarterly rise after recent banking turmoil raised hopes of a less-aggressive U.S. Federal Reserve and shored up interest in bullion.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,977.36 per ounce, as of 0912 GMT. U.S. gold futures eased 0.2% to $1,993.80.

Gold is currently just consolidating and there is focus on inflation data due later in the day, said Carlo Alberto De Casa, external analyst at Kinesis Money.

U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is due at 1230 GMT which could offer cues on the Fed's policy path.

Bullion has added more than 8% so far this quarter and was also headed for its best month since November, 2022.

The dollar index .DXY has tracked towards a quarterly loss, making gold an attractive investment. USD/

Last week, gold topped $2,000 after the sudden collapse of two U.S. regional lenders earlier in the month drove bets that the U.S. central bank might pause hiking rates to stem the risk of contagion in the global banking system. But prices retreated after authorities initiated rescue measures.

"I still believe gold can climb over $2,000 in the medium term as the Fed is likely to remain dovish and in the case of further turmoil, it will attract safe-haven flows," De Casa added.

According to CME FedWatch tool, investors see a 43.5% chance of the Fed standing pat on interest rates in May.

Silver slipped 0.2% to $23.83 per ounce.

XRP/USD

0.48 Price
+0.710% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.00367

BTC/USD

27,727.20 Price
+0.640% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 60.00

US100

14,345.30 Price
+0.140% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0255%
Short position overnight fee 0.0032%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 1.8

Oil - Crude

72.54 Price
-0.520% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0154%
Short position overnight fee -0.0065%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.03

Platinum was flat at $985.65 while palladium gained 2% to $1,494.29. Both the metals headed for a quarterly fall.

"Palladium price more vulnerable to demand than supply shocks," Metals Focus said in a note.

"Automakers currently hold an abundance of PGMs, as they bought a larger quantity last year than they utilised. This overstocking has left the industry with an unusually long position in palladium."

 

 

 

 

Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; editing by Jason Neely

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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