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Forex news: euro rallies on hike bets; AUD/USD forms double bottom pattern

09:51, 21 June 2022

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In this article:
  • AUD/USD

    0.67963 USD
    -0.00709 -1.030%
  • USD/CAD

    1.30331 USD
    0.01788 +1.390%
  • USD/JPY

    135.735 USD
    0.091 +0.070%

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a chart showing double bottom candlestick in technical analysis
Double bottom bullish reversal pattern – Photo: Shutterstock

After yesterday's US Juneteenth holiday, the forex market is in a risk-on mode, with all major currencies – except the Japanese yen (JPY) – rising against the dollar.

The euro was boosted by comments from European Central Bank officials Peter Kažimír and Olli Rehn, who suggested that a half-percentage point increase is expected in September. 

After opening at 1.051, EUR/USD climbed to 1.056 at 11:45 GMT, up by 0.5% for the day. The US dollar index (DXY) fell to 104.1 levels, down by 0.4% on the day, as Treasury yields remained mostly flat, with 10-year Note staying at 3.27% yield. 

The pound (GBP/USD) rose 0.4% to 1.23, boosted by comments by Huw Pill, the Bank of England's Chief Economist, who predicts further hikes in the coming months.

The Swiss franc held steady, with USD/CHF at 0.966 down 3.6% in the previous week following the Swiss National Bank's unexpected rate hike of half a percentage point.

Oil-linked currencies rallied, with the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD) and the Norwegian krone (USD/NOK) up by 0.3% and 1.4%, respectively, as crude oil prices recovered, with WTI crude rebounding to $110 per barrel.

The Australian dollar (AUD/USD) gained ground as well, up by 0.2%, boosted by Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe's remarks that additional tightening is needed because rates are still low and inflation is expected to reach 7% by year's end. The New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) mirrored the Aussie's performance (+0.2% today). 

Major pairs: Top risers and fallers today – 21 June 2022

A forex table that compares nine major currencies against each other, including USD, EUR, GBY, JPY, CHF, AUD, NZD, CAD and NOKMajor currencies: Today’s top risers and fallers, 21 June 2022, 11:30 UTC – Photo: Capital.com

Technical chart of the day: AUD/USD forms a double bottom; 0.73 in sight?

On the technical front, the AUD/USD daily chart formed a double bottom around 0.685 last week, a level reached by the pair in mid-May before rebounding to 0.727.

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This might indicate the possibility of a new move to the 0.727 neckline, which, if broken, would signal a bullish trend reversal. A double bottom bullish pattern consists of two equal dips and a modest high in between, which tipically occurs at the end of a downward trend. 

AUD/USD is now trading at 0.699, up by 1.3% over the past week. 

aud/usd technical analysisAUD/USD hit double bottom, is there an upside? – Photo: Capital.com, Source: Tradingview

Forex market heatmap – 21 June 2022

A forex table showing the performance of US dollar and the euro against other currenciesForex market heatmap 21 June 2022, 11:45 UTC – Photo: Capital.com

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