US crude, product inventories likely fell last week

By Reuters News
FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo

- US crude oil and product inventories are expected to have fallen last week, an extended Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

Seven analysts polled by Reuters estimated, on average, that crude inventories fell by about 264,000 barrels in the week ended September 25.

The poll was conducted ahead of scheduled weekly reports from the American Petroleum Institute at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday and the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

Crude inventories rose by 3 million barrels to 426.4 million barrels in the week ended September 18, the EIA said last week, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 641,000-barrel draw.

REUTERS FORECAST CHANGE FOR WEEK ENDED

09/25/26

ACTUAL FOR WEEK (EIA) ENDED

09/18/26

PREVIOUS WEEK CHANGE

YR-AGO CHANGE WEEK ENDED 09/26/25

CRUDE

-0.3 MLN

426.4

3 MLN

1.8 MLN

DISTILLATE

-0.2 MLN

107.4

-0.4 MLN

0.6 MLN

GASOLINE

-0.5 MLN

206

-1.7 MLN

4.1 MLN

REFINERY RUNS

-0.4 PCT PT

94%

-2.8 PCT PT

-1.6 PCT PT

Analysts estimate stockpiles of gasoline USOILG=ECI fell by about 500,000 barrels last week, while distillate inventories USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, are expected to have fallen 200,000 barrels.

The rate of refinery utilization USOIRU=ECI is estimated to have decreased by 0.4 percentage point from 94% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.

All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery rate changes are measured in percentage points.

Organization

Crude

Distillate

Gasoline

Refinery runs

Again Capital

1.6

-1.7

-1.1

--

Confluence

0.5

0.5

-1.0

-0.6

LSEG

1.9

-0.5

0.3

-0.4

Macquarie Group

-2.2

-0.1

-1.5

--

Price Futures Group

-2.0

1.0

-1.0

0.5

Ritterbusch & Associates

0.5

-0.5

1.0

-0.7

Rystad Energy

-1.9

-0.4

0.4

-0.1

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