Twelve Capital says no imminent global tropical cyclone landfall risk

By Public Technologies
  • Twelve Capital flagged no imminent risk of tropical cyclone landfall globally in its Oct. 2, 2026 cat radar update.
  • Recent storm activity stayed concentrated in the Pacific.
  • Limited expected insurance impact from Hurricane Polo’s landfalls in Baja California and Sonora due to low insured exposure.
  • Hurricane Rachel strengthened into a major hurricane while moving away from Mexico.
  • Major-hurricane intensity for Rachel expected to hold into early Saturday.
  • Elevated Pacific tropical cyclone activity could persist for weeks, citing El Niño conditions and late-season precedent.
  • In the Atlantic, redevelopment risk from Fay’s remnants assessed as very low.
  • Models showed a possible weak system in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico next week, with heavy rainfall as the main risk.


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