MAI Capital Q3 2026 review flags AI spending slowdown as biggest risk to equities

By Public Technologies
  • MAI Capital flagged a sharp Q3 2026 bond selloff, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to about 5.3% from 4.2%.
  • It framed higher yields as consistent with a stronger economy, citing a first Fed rate hike in three years with about 75 bps more priced by mid-2027.
  • It highlighted fiscal risks but said markets have not materially repriced U.S. default risk, citing a 3.7% five-year default probability.
  • It said fixed income now offers more attractive entry points, with investment-grade corporate yields in the 95th percentile since 2008.
  • It warned equities face the biggest risk from an AI spending slowdown, despite the S&P 500 rising 2.3% in Q3.


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