Bitcoin price prediction: Third-party price target
We examine bitcoin price predictions for 2025 and beyond, with insights from third-party analysts and market experts.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s first cryptocurrency, remains the largest by market capitalisation. As a decentralised digital asset, it’s widely seen as a store of value and hedge against inflation.
In this article, we explore bitcoin price predictions for 2025 and beyond, sharing third-party insights from analysts and market watchers.
Read more: Trading Bitcoin's all-time high in July
Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 and beyond
As of 30 June 2025, third-party bitcoin (BTC) price predictions for 2025 and beyond ranged from cautiously optimistic to bullish.
In a May 2025 research note, Standard Chartered’s Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick pointed to rising institutional interest in BTC, citing recent SEC filings. He reaffirmed his long-term view that bitcoin could reach $500,000 by the end of Donald Trump’s current term, building on a previous target of $200,000 by end-2025 and $500,000 by 2028.
Other forecasts were more measured. Crypto asset exchange platform Changelly predicted BTC would average $109,046 in 2025, with a range of $105,781-$110,310, rising to a potential $163,582 in 2026 and $531,605 by 2029. Benzinga projected a 2025 average of $125,027, before dipping to $81,851 in 2027 and rebounding to $236,454 in 2029.
Trading Economics was more conservative, forecasting a year-end 2025 average of $107,256 and little change into 2026. AMBCrypto expected $120,011 on average this year, with a range between $96,009 and $144,013, rising to $229,686 by 2029.
CoinCodex anticipated 2025 volatility, with an average of $129,090 (range: $109,848–$179,948). It expected a dip in 2027, followed by a recovery to $228,759 by 2029.
Finally, Digital Coin Price presented one of the most bullish forecasts, predicting an average BTC price of $223,028 in 2025, within a $96,511-$236,486 range. The platform forecast steady acceleration in bitcoin’s growth thereafter, projecting an impressive average price of $479,680 by 2029.
Bitcoin price prediction 2030-2050: Long-term outlook
Third-party bitcoin price predictions for the long term were predominantly bullish as of 30 June 2025, with many analysts projecting growth beyond $200,000 by 2030.
|
2030 |
|||
|
Low |
Avg |
High |
|
|
ARK Invest |
$700,000 |
$1,100,000 |
$1,500,000 |
|
Digital Coin Price |
$511,366.11 |
$553,839.99 |
$586,559.41 |
|
Benzinga |
$198,574 |
$266,129 |
$295.577 |
|
AMBCrypto |
$194,000.53 |
$242,500.66 |
$ 291,000.79 |
|
CoinCodex |
$141,409 |
$157,958 |
$ 216,727 |
In a May 2025 interview with CNBC, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood outlined an optimistic scenario, predicting bitcoin’s ‘base case’ at between $700,000 and $750,000 by 2030, and a ‘bull case’ of $1,500,000.
AMBCrypto extended its projection to 2036, forecasting an average BTC price of approximately $695,069, within a $556,055-$834,082 range.
CoinCodex anticipated a continued upward trajectory, estimating an average BTC price of $1.1m by 2040, before climbing to $1.5m by 2050 within a $1.47-$1.52m band.
Digital Coin Price provided projections up to 2034, predicting an average bitcoin price of around $2.06m for that year, with a minimum of $2.02m and a maximum of $2.10m.
Long-term forecasts should always be viewed with caution owing to inherent uncertainties. Perform thorough, independent research before making decisions based on price predictions. Past performance isn’t a reliable indicator of future results.
Capital.com input
Capital.com’s Head of Research Monte Safieddine noted that BTC has been trading within a broad bull channel in 2025. While this trend supports long-term optimism, he warned that movements within the channel can swing sentiment – drawing in bulls at the top and triggering caution near the bottom.
He added that BTC’s resilience during pullbacks highlights its role as a relative haven within the crypto space. However, breakout strategies remain risky: ‘There are no guarantees technicals will hold, especially when volatility rises.’
When you trade BTC with Capital.com, you’re using contracts for difference (CFDs). This means you don’t own the underlying asset itself – instead, you speculate on its price movements, through markets such as BTC/USD. CFDs are traded on margin and involve leverage, which can magnify both profits and losses.
What is the bitcoin price history?
Bitcoin launched in 2009, with its first real-world use in May 2010, when a programmer paid 10,000 BTC for two pizzas – now a legendary transaction marking Bitcoin Pizza Day. It reached parity with the US dollar in 2011, surged to $31, then dropped, before hitting $1,000 in 2013 amid growing interest and challenges like China’s banking curbs and Mt. Gox’s collapse in 2014.
The 2016 halving sparked a fresh rally. In 2017, institutional demand and the ICO boom drove prices higher, before 2018’s regulatory clampdown triggered a slide below $4,000.
Bitcoin surged again during the pandemic, breaking $20,000 in late 2020 as institutions piled in. But 2022 saw renewed pressure – from rate hikes, platform failures and tighter regulation – pushing it back below $20,000.
Significant movements and events in 2024-2025
In January 2024, the US SEC approved multiple spot bitcoin ETFs, boosting accessibility and market confidence. Bitcoin’s latest halving in April 2024 reduced mining rewards to 3.125 BTC. While previous halvings often triggered sharp price increases, the 2024 event saw a more measured market response.
Throughout 2024, BTC traded in a volatile range, but significant milestones were reached late in the year. Bitcoin crossed $100,000 for the first time on 5 December 2024, peaking at $103,900.47. This rally continued, with the price reaching $108,268.45 on 17 December 2024.
Early 2025 saw bitcoin set a new all-time high of $109,114.88 on 20 January, fuelled by strong sentiment after the US presidential election. Prices soon retraced as traders took profits, settling near $97,000 by mid-January. A major setback followed when a hack at Bybit exchange contributed to a drop to $91,371.74 on 25 February 2025.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
When is the next bitcoin halving event?
Bitcoin halving events occur approximately every four years, with the most recent in 2024. During a halving, the reward for mining new blocks is halved, reducing the rate at which new bitcoins are created.
The most recent halving was on 20 April 2024, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
The next halving events are expected in April 2028 and 2032.
A spokesperson for Capital.com's data team said: 'From a historical perspective, every next halving pushes the BTC price surge a little lower, meaning that the effect of bitcoin halving may be winding down. That doesn’t mean that the halving won’t drive the price up; however, its impact is notably decreasing every four years.’
Learn more about BTC halving events in our comprehensive bitcoin halving guide.
What factors impact bitcoin price predictions?
Discover the primary factors affecting bitcoin price predictions, and how each can influence BTC’s price movements.
Political and economic developments
Government policies can influence bitcoin prices. US President Trump’s 2025 proposal for a national bitcoin reserve lifted investor confidence, but political shifts or reversals could introduce uncertainty and depress prices. Central bank actions, such as interest rate changes, may similarly affect bitcoin’s attractiveness versus traditional assets.
Market sentiment and trader behaviour
Sentiment is driven by news, social media and events. For instance, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index showed extreme fear (25/100) after February 2025’s Bybit hack, suggesting oversold conditions and potential for recovery. Conversely, positive institutional news can support optimism and prices.
Regulatory environment
Clear regulation provides confidence and can stabilise outlooks. ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood noted in May 2025 that supportive policies aid crypto innovation and growth. In contrast, restrictive regulation or bans in key markets could weigh on sentiment.
Adoption and institutional investment
Increased institutional adoption supports bullish predictions, as seen in notable SEC filings during 2025. Conversely, slower adoption may weaken confidence, potentially causing prices to stagnate or decline.
Learn more about BTC price movements in our comprehensive bitcoin trading guide.
Is bitcoin a good inflation hedge?
Bitcoin’s suitability as an inflation hedge depends on economic conditions. In periods of rising inflation expectations, bitcoin can attract interest thanks to its fixed supply and halving schedule. Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate is now lower than gold’s, which may enhance its appeal as a store of value.
However, bitcoin’s volatility and inconsistent behaviour during crises mean it does not always mirror traditional hedges such as gold. Traders should therefore remain cautious.
Find out more about hedging – including diversification and pairs trading – in our comprehensive trader’s guide to hedging.
Potential bitcoin trading strategies
Here are some potential trading strategies aligned with bitcoin’s market dynamics. Choose one which suits your preferences, such as risk tolerance and time commitment. Here are some to consider:
Trend trading strategy – trend trading involves identifying trends in bitcoin’s price. Traders use indicators such as moving averages to locate support, resistance and entry or exit points. The aim is to profit from sustained moves, whether upward or downward.
Scalp trading strategy – scalping is a short-term approach in which traders open and close multiple positions within a single day, focusing on high-liquidity markets such as cryptocurrency CFDs. It seeks to capture rapid price movements, often on one-minute or five-minute charts.
Statistical arbitrage strategy – statistical arbitrage uses algorithms to analyse historical data and identify temporary price deviations between correlated assets. A trader might go long the asset deemed ‘undervalued’ and short the one perceived ‘overvalued’.
What are the potential risks and rewards of crypto trading?
Trading bitcoin directly, or via CFDs – such as BTC/USD – carries specific potential risks and opportunities:
Buying the dip
Purchasing bitcoin following a significant price drop, anticipating a rebound, can offer attractive entry points. However, this strategy carries risks if prices continue to decline, potentially resulting in losses. Traders often use technical indicators like moving averages or Fibonacci retracements to help identify potential reversal points.
Buying during an uptrend
Momentum traders buy bitcoin during established upward trends, aiming to profit from sustained bullish sentiment. While this can be rewarding during prolonged rallies, sudden reversals or corrections pose considerable risks due to bitcoin’s inherent volatility. Using indicators like RSI and MACD, along with stop-loss orders, can help manage these risks.
Market volatility
Bitcoin’s price is characterised by rapid and substantial fluctuations, providing significant opportunities for short-term traders to profit from price movements. Conversely, volatility also increases the risk of large, unexpected losses, especially during market stress or low liquidity periods.
Stay informed of the potential risks associated with trading and learn how to manage them effectively by checking out our comprehensive guide to risk management.