Expeditors sees strong air freight demand keeping rates elevated in Q4

By Public Technologies
  • Air freight rates are expected to remain elevated in the fourth quarter as AI investment and e-commerce demand outpace capacity growth.
  • Global air cargo demand rose 8.5%–10% in September, compared with capacity growth of 2.8%–3.5%.
  • Hyperscaler-related demand could remain strong through the first half of 2027, while aircraft production backlogs continue to constrain capacity.
  • Chinese e-commerce volumes into the US recovered to roughly 85%–90% of levels before restrictions on de minimis entries.
  • Shippers face the tightest conditions on Asia-Pacific–US routes, making early forecasts critical to securing cargo space.


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