Barclays warns AI and satellites form 'material overhang' for European telcos

By Reuters News

** European telecom firms face new threats from agentic AI and satellite broadband that put sector cash flows at risk, Barclays says

** The broker notes AI agents could help consumers find promotional discounts, "providing a fertile ground for optimising spend" and hurting revenues across the sector

** Satellite broadband adds further competition, with the brokerage warning these combined technological headwinds are set to remain a "material overhang" for valuations

** It downgrades Vodafone VOD.L, Proximus PROX.BR and Telefonica TEF.MC to "underweight" from "equal weight", and OTE OTEr.AT to "underweight" from "overweight", citing equity valuation risk that is amplified by high leverage for some

** Conversely, Barclays upgrades Dutch telecom KPN KPN.AS and Sweden's Telia TELIA.ST to "overweight" from "equal weight", viewing them as the least vulnerable

COMPANY

RATING

OLD RATING

Bouygues BOUY.PA

equal weight

no change

BT Group BT.L

underweight

no change

Deutsche Telekom DTEGn.DE

overweight

no change

Elisa ELISA.HE

equal weight

no change

KPN

overweight

equal weight

Liberty Global LBTYA.O

equal weight

no change

Orange ORAN.PA

equal weight

no change

OTE

underweight

overweight

Proximus

underweight

equal weight

Sunrise Communications SUNN.S

underweight

no change

Swisscom SCMN.S

underweight

no change

Tele2 TEL2b.ST

overweight

no change

Telefonica

underweight

equal weight

Telenor TEL.OL

equal weight

no change

Telia

overweight

equal weight

Vodafone

underweight

equal weight

Zegona Communications ZEG.L

overweight

no change

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