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Trump’s trade tactics vs. market optimism – who will win?

These are some of the key markets to watch

Tariff deadline – 1 August: Trump threatens 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico. Markets expect a bluff, but if real, a sharp correction may follow.
US indices near highs: Tech-heavy indices are elevated. A trade shock could trigger a drop, especially in European stocks.
EUR/USD at key level: Supported by ECB credibility, but vulnerable to dollar strength. A break below 1.16 may signal a trend shift.
July CPI (out in August): If inflation stays low, markets may price in rate cuts — boosting risk assets, pressuring the dollar.
Gold trend intact: Momentum slowed, but gold may rise again if inflation softens and rate cut bets return.

Lessons from Liberation Day

From tech crashes to crypto swings, these were the shockwaves that followed the last wave of tariff news on April 2.*

Apple crumbles | AAPL plunged 7.5% as fears flared over rising production costs and looming Chinese retaliation, threatening both its supply chain and consumer base.
Nasdaq's record rout | The US Tech 100 plunged nearly 6%, its largest point drop in history, as tariff-driven cost pressures and demand fears hit tech stocks.
All that glitters | Gold surged to near-record highs as jittery traders fled equity volatility in favour of a hedge against uncertainty.
Dollar takes a hit |USD slumped sharply as confidence in US economic leadership wavered under the weight of sweeping tariff measures.
Crypto caught in the crossfire | BTC spiked above $88,000 before tumbling back to $82,000. Investors weighed its safe-haven appeal against risk-off sentiment and drying liquidity.
DAX takes a dip | The Germany 40 slid just over 3% as investors fretted over the damage US tariffs could inflict on the country’s export-heavy economy.
Crude awakening | Oil prices tumbled over 7%, hit by concerns that escalating trade wars could throttle global growth and fragment supply chains.
Toyota takes a tumble | Toyota shares fell 6.8% in Tokyo after the US slapped a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts. With heavy exposure to the US market, investor nerves were raw.
Apple crumbles | AAPL plunged 7.5% as fears flared over rising production costs and looming Chinese retaliation, threatening both its supply chain and consumer base.
Nasdaq's record rout | The US Tech 100 plunged nearly 6%, its largest point drop in history, as tariff-driven cost pressures and demand fears hit tech stocks.
All that glitters | Gold surged to near-record highs as jittery traders fled equity volatility in favour of a hedge against uncertainty.
Dollar takes a hit |USD slumped sharply as confidence in US economic leadership wavered under the weight of sweeping tariff measures.
Crypto caught in the crossfire | BTC spiked above $88,000 before tumbling back to $82,000. Investors weighed its safe-haven appeal against risk-off sentiment and drying liquidity.
DAX takes a dip | The Germany 40 slid just over 3% as investors fretted over the damage US tariffs could inflict on the country’s export-heavy economy.
Crude awakening | Oil prices tumbled over 7%, hit by concerns that escalating trade wars could throttle global growth and fragment supply chains.
Toyota takes a tumble | Toyota shares fell 6.8% in Tokyo after the US slapped a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts. With heavy exposure to the US market, investor nerves were raw.

*Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Markets to watch

Check out some of the major markets to follow
Name Sell Buy Spread 1D Chg, % 1D Charts
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