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As the US Federal Reserve prepares for its most significant decision since ending the rate hike cycle in mid-2023, the balance of risks has shifted. With inflation stabilizing at 2.6% and rising unemployment at 4.2%, the FOMC faces increasing pressure to address employment concerns. Markets anticipate a rate cut, with debate on the extent of the reduction.

Markets expect the ECB to cut rates again in September, but how many more?

Overview of upcoming US inflation data for August, with expectations for a year-over-year CPI drop to 2.6% and core CPI holding steady at 3.2%. Markets will also focus on U.S. PPI data, which is forecasted to show mild growth, reinforcing potential easing inflationary pressures.

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The key focus this week will be on Jerome Powell and any insight he may give into the future of monetary policy.

Just over a month has gone by since the latest CPI data was released in the US and so much has happened since.

European stocks struggle to recover as the tech sector faces continued downside pressure in Asia.