Gold on track for weekly loss as Fed rate hike expectations build

By Reuters News
Gold bars are displayed to be photographed at bullion house in Mumbai December 3, 2009. REUTERS/Arko Datta

By Pablo Sinha

- Gold was on track for a weekly loss on Friday, as rising US Treasury yields and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weighed on the metal.

Spot gold inched up 0.3% to $4,291.06 per ounce by 0844 GMT, but was down about 2% so far this week. US gold futures rose 0.7% to $4,326.60.

US Treasury yields hovered at a near-two-decade high, raising the opportunity cost of holding gold. USD/ US/

"Ongoing inflationary pressures are driving those rate hike fears higher, which probably will stay until there's a resolution to the issues around the Strait of Hormuz and the wider Middle East region," said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter-point last week, its first hike in three years, and flagged more hikes follow. Traders are pricing in a 71% chance of an October hike and a 95% chance of an increase in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Although gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates dampen demand as investors shift to yield-bearing assets.

On the geopolitical front, US and Iranian negotiators in New York are seeking a deal that would involve Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran, sources close to the talks said.

Meanwhile, gold demand in India picked up modestly this week as lower prices drew in buyers ahead of the festive season. GOL/AS

"Lingering deficit fears could revive the debasement trend that drives investors toward hard assets like gold. Alongside persistent central bank demand, the precious metal has a credible case for a strong fourth-quarter recovery, should the macro winds begin to shift," said Nikos Tzabouras, a senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

Spot silver gained 1.1% to $64.62 per ounce, platinum added 0.6% to $1,758.54 and palladium fell 1.1% to $1,254.73. All three metals were poised for weekly losses.

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