Fidelis Capital sees historical support for bull market gains in fifth year

By Public Technologies
  • Fidelis Capital’s October 16 analysis highlighted historical support for further S&P 500 gains, with tighter Federal Reserve policy a key risk.
  • The S&P 500 gained approximately 120% over four years from its October 12, 2022, low, supported by artificial intelligence and consumer resilience.
  • Five of six bull markets reaching four years since 1957 posted fifth-year gains, averaging 14%.
  • FactSet projects roughly 16% earnings growth in 2027, with the economy on relatively solid footing heading into year-end 2026.
  • Bloomberg implied-rate data showed markets expecting three Fed hikes across 2026 and 2027, as higher energy costs weighed on inflation expectations.


Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Fidelis Capital LLC published the original content used to generate this news brief on October 16, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.