Euro zone bond yields tick up but head for weekly fall amid tech rout

By Reuters News

By Stefano Rebaudo and Harry Robertson

- Euro zone bond yields were set for a weekly fall as investors sought safety after a dramatic US tech selloff and scaled back bets on European Central Bank rate hikes, although they ticked slightly higher on Friday as markets stabilised.

Nasdaq futures climbed as chip stocks regained ground after a technology-led rout that had been triggered by fears that Democratic control of the US Congress could lead to tougher AI regulation.

Oil was on track for a sharp weekly drop as investors bet the Iran conflict would de-escalate after the dramatic election losses for President Donald Trump's Republicans, but lingering supply concerns supported the market.

Germany’s 10-year government bond yield , the euro area benchmark, was up 1 basis point at 3.256% after reaching 3.2075%, the lowest level since August 26.

German yields were on track for a 6-basis-point weekly fall, reflecting the bonds' status as a safe-haven asset at times of stress.

The tech-heavy US Nasdaq 100 index dropped more than 6% on Wednesday .NDX as investors ditched AI stocks.

"Bonds are actually fulfilling their traditional role here," said Ross Hutchinson, head of euro zone market strategy and economics at Zurich Insurance.

"Treasuries and bunds in particular have a flight to quality aspect. I think that's quite encouraging from a diversified investor's perspective overall.”

Euro zone yields barely budged after data showed the US economy added far more jobs than analysts expected in October, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 165,000.

Traders have nudged down their bets on European Central Bank rate hikes, in part due to the possible threat to global growth from the AI selloff.

Euro short-term rate (ESTR) forwards implied an ECB deposit rate of around 3.02% by late 2027 on Friday, down from 3.25% at the end of October. Markets also priced in about an 80% chance of a rate hike next month from the current 2.5%.

French bond yields, which have been in the spotlight due to worries about the country's debt levels in recent months, were flat on the day and set for an 18 basis point fall over the week .

The gap between French and German 10-year bond yields was largely unchanged at 154 bps.

It recently reached 177.70 bps, the highest since November 2011, with investors worried about France's ability to put its public finances on a sustainable footing ahead of presidential elections next year.

"Another leg lower in risk assets should keep Bunds supported, but is unlikely to be friendly for peripheral spreads, particularly after the scale of the recent OAT tightening," Evelyne Gomez-Liechti, multi-asset strategist at Mizuho, said.

Italian 10-year yields fell 1 bp to 4.343%, with the spread versus Bunds at 108 bps.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.